The Polls Are Open

One by one, the vaunted head infrastructures of the blogopolis are checking in with their carefully constructed early assessments of the 49ers likely ability to succeed or fail this coming season. The Outsider database grows fatter by the day, gathering up this info for the final reckoning at season’s end. Who will be FOSest? Who will be taking home the first annual Outsider Crystal Ball trophy for 2011?

We already know who won’t be winning any crystal ball trophies — the expert national media prognosticators. If there’s a group of hopelessly incorrect boobs anywhere else on the planet, show me to that room so I can fondle the evidence. And no, the halls of Congress are not allowed in this sports related search for the definition of ineptitude.

Some teams are close to locks in terms of predictability. The top tier winners and the bottom tier losers. In this year’s winner’s elite, teams that will have at least 10 wins or more, we have the Patriots, Steelers, Packers, Falcons, and Saints. I would normally put the Colts in here, but no one currently knows if or how many games Peyton Manning is going to miss. The Jets would seem a likely lock, but that team treads a very Singletaryish fine line between success and failure. There’s a point where players can go from trying hard to live up to their bombastic coach’s he-man bravado and entering the eyeball-rolling, yada yada yada zone.

On the under side of the sure thing card, we know Buffalo, Cincinnati, and Carolina will fail to win even six games. That leaves 24 teams in the gray area between six and ten wins. From that list, seven teams will emerge to join the elite five listed above and make the playoffs.

Early almost locks to emerge would be the Jets and Ravens, another team with a fine line separating victory and defeat. Of the remaining five playoff participants, one will come from the NFC West, one from the AFC West, one from the AFC South, and one from the NFC East. There’s only one spot left for a surprise entrant. Early candidates for this last wild card entry are the Bears and Tampa Bay, or maybe a rejuvenated Dallas team.

One thing we can be fairly sure of, the NFC West will not provide a wild card entry. Out here, it’s win the division or see you next year.

The Rams will no doubt be the national experts’ choice to win this division, which as I’ve noted, is a big so what. These so-called experts will probably add some snide remark to their prediction, suggesting no team out here is worth even bringing up in an NFL context. Haha. Still smarting over the twenty-year ass-whupping the Niners laid on the eastern boys that finally ended nine years ago.

If any clues about the season ahead can be gleaned at all from preseason games, those clues will be available this Saturday against the Texans. It will be the third game of the preseason, the starters will play into the third quarter, and it will be as serious an effort as you will get to see until the games actually begin for real.

So, get those brain committees gathered in the Central Processing Unit this weekend, guys, and hash out your final entries. Abstaining is not an option. After all, this is a 49ers blog, not a Raiders blog.

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74 comments on “The Polls Are Open
  1. Philippine FanNo Gravatar says:

    Sticking with 9-7, win the West. Niners!

  2. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    I neglected to mention what the FOSest prize is: a signed and soiled Unca_Chuck T-shirt.

    Just in case you want to re-consider, PF, and go for the worst.

  3. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    I probably didn’t need to mention “soiled”. It’s redundant.

  4. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    I predict 10-6 hoping they have a 3-1 start to the season.
    I only accept NWT hermetically sealed mint condition merchandise.

  5. winderNo Gravatar says:

    Haven’t a clue, but I will go 8-8 anyway.

  6. Unca ChuckNo Gravatar says:

    Soiled? Yer the one living in the basement covered in filth, Skeebs. It’s either that, or my signed Alex Smith jersey. Berger should win that just by default.
    .
    The pundits are still mad that I correctly picked Seattle over NO in last year’s WC game, after ALL the talking heads laughed off Seattle’s chances. They won’t forget how bad I made them look.
    .
    NO won’t win 10 games this year. They are due a fall to the middle of the pack. Da Bears? Luckiest team in the league last year. 7-9 this year, however. The Lambs? One hit away from 7-9. 8-8 is how I see SF.
    .
    Packers and Falcons are the cream of the NFC crop. TB and Detroit are the WCs (hey, it could happen). Seahags drop from the ‘top’ of the west. Like Most Pete Carroll teams, they fade after a strong start, and they’ve already shot their wad. TJ is a mess at QB, and Harbaugh will thoroughly enjoy kicking his ass come Sept. 11.
    .
    Ravens and Pittsburgh rule the AFC. Balt wins the division, Pitt gets the WC. The Pats will get the WC, but they aren’t the team they used to be. One and done. Houston gets their div win due to Indy’s fall fron grace. The AFC west? KC by default. All of the teams have gotten worse except for KC.

  7. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    I’d love to have a Smith jersey if it’s a Justin Smith jersey. Gore or Willis would do too. Right now my two jerseys are for Rice and Berger.

  8. Unca ChuckNo Gravatar says:

    My son has the Willis jersey. I have a signed Montana jersey and the oil rag that is the signed A Smith jersey.

  9. robNo Gravatar says:

    CHUCK
    i want your alex rag !

    i say 8-8 with 10-6 not out of the question if harbaugh is the real deal !

  10. winderNo Gravatar says:

    I guess I need some new jerseys, my last ones were Freddy Solomons and Dwayne(sp) Boards.

    rob – With a couple of lucky bounces we just might be able to get there. We just have to see what this team is really made of, it’s hard to say at this point.

  11. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    Carolina awarded Kentwan Balmer on waivers over multiple claims from other teams. The legend lives on.

  12. winderNo Gravatar says:

    I guess there’s still time to pick up some TC fodder.

  13. Unca ChuckNo Gravatar says:

    Yeah, my Rathman jersey disintegrated 2 years ago, and I lost my B Young jersey back around 98.

  14. Del Mar DennisNo Gravatar says:

    I’ll make my prediction right after Jed completes his nation-wide search for a GM.

  15. robNo Gravatar says:

    i lost my julian peterson jersey !

    hey don’t we play tonight ?

    RUFUS T , do you still have that game link from last week ?

  16. RTFireflyNo Gravatar says:

    Rob, vipbox.tv

  17. Del Mar DennisNo Gravatar says:

    Rob, do we play tonight? I think you’ve been soaking your head too much in that Gulf of Mexico water. We play Saturday, 8:00 your time. I’m still waiting for my FedEx box of fish fillets. And remember, NO bones!

  18. robNo Gravatar says:

    RT
    thanks again ! this time on on my laptop so i’ll favorite it !

    DEL
    goddammit i could swear i saw a thursday game vs. baltimore !
    oh fudge and i was all excited !

  19. Del Mar DennisNo Gravatar says:

    Baltimore is playing tonight, vs the ‘Skins in a 1/2 hr on ESPN.

  20. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    Week 12: Thursday, Nov. 24
    49ers at Baltimore, 5:20 p.m.

  21. Del Mar DennisNo Gravatar says:

    2-1 says Josh McCown will be starting by then.

  22. robNo Gravatar says:

    yup skeebs !
    i must have seen that on the espn ticker and thought it was this week’s game !
    lol

  23. robNo Gravatar says:

    did anybody notice the baltimore defensive line ? hloti ngota is the DE for chrisakes !!!
    our boi terrance cody , who we might have passed on for taylor mays ? is the NT !
    IMAGINE we could have had both ngota and cody !
    OMG !
    how would u like a d-line of ngota , cody and justin smith !!!

    even worse my man cofield is the new skins NT !

    OH WELL
    thanks a lot dr deyorkian !

  24. robNo Gravatar says:

    DEL i’ll wager 1-5 against mccown !

  25. robNo Gravatar says:

    oh well , no niners … time for some
    DEEP PURPLE !

  26. Del Mar DennisNo Gravatar says:

    You know what stinks on ice? Our game Sat. night vs the Texans coincides with the NASCAR race at Bristol. That might be my favorite race all year — under the lights in the bullring. I’ll have to get creative again with the TV/radio/computer. Which reminds me. Rob, I haven’t had a NASCAR pick from you in awhile. Kyle Busch has owned that track of late, and the 18 car is the one to beat. What say you?

  27. robNo Gravatar says:

    i thought kenseth was good there ? haven’t watched much nascar lately so all can add is my two favorites
    edwards and montoya !

    watch one and record the other ?
    or watch the start of the football game and the end of the race !

    btw i like bristol too ! my old fav tennessee’s own sterling marlin always ran well there !

  28. robNo Gravatar says:

    well i went to the nascar site to see who qualified well and who is on a hot streak …
    and as usual on the fukedup sites the most needed info was hardest to find !
    i did find this little tid-bit !this pretty well sums up why china will be the #1 country in the world by 2012 ! way sooner than most people thought … or they really should be !

    “Crew chief Baxter apologizes for hair pulling “

  29. robNo Gravatar says:

    omg ! time for bed !

  30. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Another V-ism alert from SF Gate.
    V has basically flipped out and is posting as BullitWongRazor now.
    It is a vain attempt to get back at his top 3 tormentors.
    He is making up a children’s charity and posted a link.
    the link is
    http://www.49erssuperbowlbeliversclub.com
    His problem is he mispelled believers and has it as belivers.
    Either way it’s a bogus link and no such charity exists.
    Maybe he’s blown the final fuse in his little brain because he’s acting most erractly.

  31. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Rob

    You go to bed at 9:35 Eastern Time?
    I find as I get older I sleep less. I’m happy with 5 hours and 7 is the most I’ve slept in one night for the last 10 years barring sickness and drinking Nyquil

  32. Del Mar DennisNo Gravatar says:

    Hey, Rob. I think you guys in Clearwater are gonna miss it, but Hurricane Irene is a coming. Batten down the hatches just in case. And no fishing for the next few days. Those currents are gonna be a mother. You can catch and FedEx my fish fillets next week. 馃槈 And Hurricane Irene or not, there best not be any bones. 馃槢

  33. robNo Gravatar says:

    lol
    irene whimped out to a cat 3 or something and might go as far as NC or NY !
    SO much for the global warming chicken littles who said the hurricanes were going to kill us all because we had a bunch in 2004 or so !
    BULLIT you boob .. i was thinking my pre game vodka might put me to sleep ! well , it didn’t so here i am !!!
    馃槈

  34. robNo Gravatar says:

    DEL fuk the currents ! imo the tides are with me right now ! all i want is to go fishin! snook season is sept 1 imo , so ….
    oooooooooooohhh boi !!!

  35. robNo Gravatar says:

    bullit
    3:40 am. here !
    lots of vodka and deep purple tunes
    where u at ?~!

  36. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    Today’s word of the day is called off since I can’t figure it out.

  37. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    That’s what happened to the my post today. After I wrote it, I couldn’t figure out what it said. So I called it off.

  38. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Rob

    I was watching TV with my wife
    Big Brother to be exact
    at 9:41 PT
    What kind of Vodka? Grey Goose?
    Stoly, Skyy or Absolut?

    Ever hear of Square One Vodka?
    It’s a USA Organic Rye Vodka
    check it out $36/.750 ml not cheap
    http://www.squareoneorganicspirits.com/

    Ever try Three Olives Rootbeer Vodka? About $18/ .750 ml
    quite different

    Skoal brother!!!

  39. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Rob

    If you do fish be careful of the currents
    After a storm the fish are stirred up and discombulated
    and you catch fish that are normally not easy catches
    My friend goes out on the Salmon Boat charters and comes back with 2 salmon over 12 lbs each.
    Not for me because I’ll just be seasick the whole trip. 2 feet swells get me so if you have 10 feet swells you might as well shoot me.
    Game is on tomorrow Rob

  40. winderNo Gravatar says:

    I guess we will see some of what Harbaugh has planned for this season. I am totally jazzed about our running game, and if Gore can stay healty I think we just might have one of the best in the league. Wow, I guess that Kool-aid really works. Anyway, I want to see some offense and lots of it.

    Bullit – I wouldn’t know what it’s like to get over 6 hours sleep a night, i usually get 4 to 5. Been that way for a long time.

    Rob – Fishing is good for the soul, and it’s really good when you catch something.

  41. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    Winder- Fishing is not good for the sole, they probably wish we would stop.
    .
    Vodka and cranberry juice, the Cape Cod, breakfast of champions.
    .
    Get fat, you’ll sleep more!

  42. robNo Gravatar says:

    BULLIT
    the cheap 10 dollar per gallon stuff
    lol
    it’s the one made on frankfurt ky and sold every cheap vodka seller ! they all slap their own label on it … like winn dixie here in fl !
    with o.j. !
    Game is on tomorrow !
    i’ll watch after a good day of selling bonsai trees at the sarasota farmers market !
    CAN’T WAIT !

  43. robNo Gravatar says:

    WINDER
    i just posted on the insider that i thought this was our best group of backs in years !
    gore, dixon, hunter and even omon all look good !
    now maybe we have a coach who can get the most out of the talent we do have !

  44. robNo Gravatar says:

    BERGER

    ” Get fat, you鈥檒l sleep more ”

    umm are we speaking from experience here ?

    馃槈

  45. robNo Gravatar says:

    BULLIT
    ” after a storm the fish are … discombulated ”

    oops sorry , i thought it was me that was discombobulated !

    discombobulated ! i love that word

    hey maybe this can be the word of the day !

    dis路com路bob路u路late (d s k m-b b y -l t ). tr.v. dis路com路bob路u路lat路ed, dis路com路 bob路u路lat路ing, dis路com路bob路u路lates. To throw into a state of confusion. …

  46. Unca ChuckNo Gravatar says:

    Proclitic?
    .
    Sounds like a girl who favors masturbation. As opposed to anticlitic . . .

  47. winderNo Gravatar says:

    Berger – Lol. Yeah, the poor Sole, being stuck like that in the food-chain of life.

    I used to love vodka and cranberry, almost as much as Gin and lemonaid.

    Ya know rob, sooner or later we’re gonna be right.

  48. winderNo Gravatar says:

    chuck – I had to look that one up, and I still don’t get it.

  49. Unca ChuckNo Gravatar says:

    It’s about how you stress the pronunciation of words, Winder.

    Vodka & grapefruit juice (Greyhound), but it HAS to be fresh grapefruit juice and ice-cold (Ketel One) vodka . . . . . .

  50. robNo Gravatar says:

    ok chuck , a bit particular are we ?

    馃槈

    winder , yup flying V would have a field day with us if he came on here !

  51. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    rob

    He was kicked off the SF Gate Insider AGAIN! He’s posting now as BullitWongRazor in partial homage to me.

  52. Grumpy GuyNo Gravatar says:

    You should feel honored, Bullit. OTOH, he had to pick on someone now that Chuck isn’t around for him to lavish affection on.

    As for me, I say F*ck Him, and I call him Gollum. Smeagol’s life is a sad tale, but I don’t give a shit; he can go tell it to someone else. 馃檪

  53. winderNo Gravatar says:

    In my mind V’s just another Raider fan. There’s probably a DMS IV catagory for him but I don’t know what it would be.

  54. Unca ChuckNo Gravatar says:

    Thank the Lord for that, Grump.

    I certainly don’t miss the escaped goats, the deluded clowns, or the gullible masses.

  55. robNo Gravatar says:

    V is too funny !

  56. robNo Gravatar says:

    ever heard of run on sentences ? V puts out whole run on paragraphs of hilarious gibberish !
    lol
    i think he’s a hoot !

  57. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Lane Kiffen is still taking shots at Al Davis. They have the worst Org in football

    In an interview with ESPN.com, Kiffin said he doesn鈥檛 see how a coach can win in the current climate in Oakland.

    鈥淚t is almost impossible,鈥 Kiffin said. 鈥淚 don鈥檛 know why I didn鈥檛 listen, [because] so many people told me that. That鈥檚 why, if you ask [University of Washington coach Steve Sarkisian], he didn鈥檛 go. He had a chance to go. You鈥檙e just so far behind other clubs. You鈥檙e waiting for [Davis] to wake up and come to work at 2 o鈥檆lock in the afternoon to make decisions that the rest of the league is making at 6 o鈥檆lock in the morning. You鈥檙e still running videotapes over to the hotel so he can watch practice at night.鈥

    Kiffin, who鈥檚 now the head coach at USC, sounds like he feels more pity than anger toward the 82-year-old Davis.

    鈥淚t was sad, really, to see somebody who鈥檚 accomplished so much in his career and been such a powerful figure in the NFL,鈥 Kiffin said. 鈥淭o see that was actually pretty sad to watch.鈥

    鈥淪ad to watch鈥 pretty well describes football in Oakland over the last several years.”

  58. Unca ChuckNo Gravatar says:

    Kiffin talking shit about Dirty Al is like Quadafi talking shit about Saddam.
    .
    They are both clueless fools.

  59. Grumpy GuyNo Gravatar says:

    Rob: Gollum also has a high quotient of Mrs. Malaprop in his sad little brain.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Malapropism

  60. Unca ChuckNo Gravatar says:

    Escaped goats was one of my faves. I can’t remember the other ones, but he had a bunch.

  61. winderNo Gravatar says:

    Chuck – You always held your own real well with V. I remember your first three word were always: F’ U’ twinkie. I liked the blog much better then.

  62. Del Mar DennisNo Gravatar says:

    My favorite V malapropism is “Duck Tape.” A quack for a quack.
     
    Speaking of ducks, hey, Rob! I’m riding shotgun this Saturday night with Carl Edwards and the #99 Aflac Ford Fusion. He’s starting on the outside of the front row. Quack!
     
    This has to be V’s favorite commercial. He gets the “Escaped Goat” and the “Duck Tape” all in one.
     
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gtBirwSpLJY

  63. Philippine FanNo Gravatar says:

    Skeebs I like chuck but not that much, forget the tee-shirt. What if YOU pull out a miracle and the team goes 11-5? Do you award yourself a crystal trophy or insist we take up a collection for some premo vodka? Or what?
    .
    Just askin’

  64. Philippine FanNo Gravatar says:

    Pretty damn sure we’ll all be in a generous mood!

  65. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    I like V in person. When I talk to him on the phone he is a nice guy. On the blog he is completely different. I don’t even bother to read his posts anymore. I haven’t read them for over a year. The thing about V is I like anybody who hates Democrats.

  66. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Nofear

    He also fabricates posts and tries to pin that on others. That
    is totally crossing the line
    and pure bullshit and indefensable. There’s gotta be some order and honor on blogs.
    No reason for that to happen.

  67. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    bullit- Why do you waste your time reading his posts? You and I disagree politically but usually agree about our Niners. I read your posts regardless of the subject. The difference is you make sense, even when we disagreee.

  68. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    Unca- For the first time in a month I went and read your blog. It is a shitty as ever. But at least I can say that Spitty is still your stupidest poster. He actually makes you look smart, I guess that is why you let him stay. If you knew what you were watching you would know Sope had a good game vs the Raiders. He doesn’t shoot gaps like RJF, I guess that is what you notice. He pushed forward and messed up many plays where others filled in for the tackle. The biggest play that comes to mind was RJFs goal line tackle.

  69. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    Under the column, “Thank God Mike Nolan Did Not Pick Me”, I believe the best QB in football is Aaron Rodgers.

  70. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    Just saw a headline questioning the economic effect from the hurricane. When a Democrat is in office, everything is a negative, oh my gosh this President has been dealt a bad hand. When a Republican is in office it is about the response. Anyone doubt who the media is voting for? I wonder what Unca the Independent will say about this post? Independent my ass. Even Democrats are embarrassed to declare they are Democrats. Actually, I understand completely.

  71. robNo Gravatar says:

    now we’ll see if we continue making progress , or fall back again like we have so many times since the good old days !

  72. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    New post is up.

  73. Fredrick ZwickerNo Gravatar says:

    Wow, what a quality it is! Since mostly YouTube video tutorials have no nice feature, except this is actually a fastidious quality video.

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2020 Schedule
9-13: L Cardinals 24, 49ers 20
9-20: W 49ers 31, Jets 13
9-27: W 49ers 36, Giants 9

10-4: L Eagles 25, 49ers 20
10-11: L Dolphins 43, 49ers 17
10-18: W 49ers 24, Rams 16
10-25: W 49ers 33, Patriots 6

11-1: L Seahawks 37, 49ers 27
11-5: L Packers 34, 49ers 17
11-15: L Saints 27, 49ers 13

BYE

11-29: W 49ers 23, Rams 20

12-7: L Bills 34, 49ers 24
12-13: L Washington 23, 49ers 15
12-20: L Cowboys 41, 49ers 33
12-26: W 49ers 20, Cardinals 12

1-3: L Seahawks 26, 49ers 23

2021 Draft Class
1. QB Trey Lance, North Dakota State
2. OG Aaron Banks, Notre Dame
3. RB Trey Sermon, Ohio State
3. CB Ambry Thomas, Michigan
5. OG/OT Jaylon Moore, Western Michigan
5. CB Deommodore Lenoir, Oregon
5. S Talanoa Hufanga, USC
6. RB Elijah Mitchell, Louisiana
 
2020 Prognostications (Mulligan Version)
WINNERS:
Bullit: 6-10
NJ49er: 6-10

LOSERS:
Skeebers: 7-9
Winder: 4-12

ABSTAINERS:
Grumpy: DNP
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