He Loves Me, He Loves Me Not

Matt Maiocco ran a poll recently asking his readers whether they were pro or con on the notion of Alex Smith returning to the 49ers for the 2011 season. Somewhat surprisingly, 57% voted pro. Smith himself voted off the record at season’s end by remarking, “You’ve got to be kidding.”

The fan vote might be a reflection of having Jim Harbaugh as the HC now, instead of He Who Is Gone. The feeling might be that Harbaugh will run a dynamic offense that will make any QB seem good, rather than needing a QB who is superb to carry an otherwise pedestrian operation. The uncertain CBA situation also plays into the vote, since Smith is one of the few QBs who can actually sign a contract with the 49ers, who currently have only David Carr on the roster.

Smith would have to sign that contract before March 4th, however. And that’s where it gets a little murky for Smith’s own options. If he’s a FA on March 4th and the CBA has not been signed, Smith faces the possibility of losing yet another year of his career. He might not be able to join another team in time to legitimately compete for a starting job, since he won’t know the playbook in time for the season opener. If he rejoins the 49ers, however, his chances to start next year are pretty good. He knows the team and its receivers, which gives him a leg up on any competition that occurs.

Decisions, decisions. Some fans are nervous that Smith might be leaving the team just when he is ready to blossom. Other fans, of course, feel he will never blossom, no way, no how, not here, not there, not anywhere at all. The former fans fear he will end up in Seattle and come back to haunt us. The latter fans pray he will end up in Seattle and assure that team’s demise.

Smith would have to know, if he re-upped with the Niners, that he most likely would not be considered a long term solution. A one year deal would be all either he or the team would likely want to negotiate. For Smith, a good year would increase his value on the FA market for 2012, if not his long term chances here. But another so-so year, and a mid-season benching, under Harbaugh’s QB friendly offense, could be a dagger in the heart to his resume.

Of course, if the new CBA is signed by March 4th, then it’s business as usual in the NFL and Smith would most likely sign elsewhere for 2011. For Smith and his agent, then, the choice now in February is which bet to make. Assume the CBA will be signed and Smith can move on down the road. Or assume it will not be signed and keep his locker at 4949 Centennial Blvd. for one more year by signing a new contract now.

Personally, I don’t care whether Smith comes back or moves on. I’ve tossed my chips in with Harbaugh. He’s going to get this QB situation settled. If I’m Smith, though, I have to be sweating a little. His luck so far in the pro game has pretty much sucked, so he’s got to wonder if he’ll bet the wrong pony now, too. No matter which nag he chooses. If you see Smith coming out of a voodoo parlor wearing a necklace of bones and sprinkling himself with anti-gremlin juice, you’ll know he’s in a serious rassle with fickle fate.

Good luck, Alex. Want to buy a used rabbit’s foot? I got it off a guy who stepped in front of a bus. He don’t need it anymore.

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12 comments on “He Loves Me, He Loves Me Not
  1. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    Skeebs- I think everybody knows I agree with you, I’ve put my chips in with Harbaugh. If he resigns Smith, great, if he doesn’t want him, great. I’m so happy to have a stratagist who knows QBing and offense as a coach I am just giddy. Let us just hope he can show some kind of doppelganger form of Walsh.

  2. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    How’s your sinus problem, Berger?

  3. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    Still taking drugs(amoxicillin), but I feel good. Thank you for asking.

  4. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    My dentist started me off on amoxicillin when I had my tooth problem, but when I ended up in surgery, they put me on something quite a bit stronger. Can’t recall what it was. I still have most of the amoxicillin left. WTF. I’ll try it out on the next cold I get.

  5. Unca ChuckNo Gravatar says:

    Skeebs, there are very few out there that feel Smith is ready to break out. Any improvement would be attributed to him getting the hell out of here.
    I don’t see that many scenarios where Smith comes back, but the CBA could very well be the reason for it.

  6. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    Skeebs- It doesn’t work on colds and flus. Use it for infections. From what I’ve heard, Amoxicillan is the low end of the rung for the Penicillans.

  7. delmardennisNo Gravatar says:

    Discussing Alex Smith makes me want to take even more drugs. Unfortunately there’s no amount of penicillin that could cure that infection. Amputate!

  8. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    Dennis’s (and others alike) comments are the only thing that makes me want to resign Alex! The entertainment value alone is too good to pass on.

  9. RTFireflyNo Gravatar says:

    Oh nooooooooo… This horse died of self-inflicted wounds, was embalmed, buried, exhumed, given massive amounts of plastic surgery and was Frankenstein-like reanimated, died again, etc. Yet IT STILL LIVES!!!! Rasputin would be proud.

  10. Unca ChuckNo Gravatar says:

    If there wasn’t the threat of a lockout, the chances of A Smith staying would be nil.
    Given that the CBA expires before the FA ‘season’ starts, no one is gong anywhere. Therefore, if this drags out to October, the idea of retooling with a week to start the season is iffy at best.
    And, no, NoFear, this isn’t about people hoping Smith finally lives up to his potential so they can crow about it. We’ll leave that to you. This isn’t Kindergarden.

  11. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    For what it’s worth, it’s simply a smart business decision on Harbaugh’s part to keep some continuity.

    Given his checkered resume, Alex is only keeping a seat warm for Jims’ QB TBD.

    Carr or Smith?

    Bullet to temple or knife in your neck?

  12. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    BTW – How come I haven’t read any comments related to Mr Sanchez of the NYJ and his exploits with the 17 year old HS student?

    Quite the laugher out here in the East.

    Brett Favres’ Pix Messages and now the Dirty Sanchez Redux…You can’t make this sh!t up.

2021 Schedules
09/12: W 49ers 41, Lions 33
09/19: W 49ers 17, Eagles 11
09/26: L Packers 30, 49ers 28
10/03: L Seahawks 28, 49ers 21
10/10: L Cardinals 17, 49ers 10
10/17 BYE
10/24: L Colts 30, 49ers 18
10/31: W 49ers 33, Bears 22
11/07: L Cardinals 31, 49ers 17
11/15: W 49ers 31, Rams 10L
11/21: W 49ers 30, Jaguars 10
11/28: W 49ers 34, Vikings 26
12/05: L Seahawks 30, 49ers 23 12/12 · 10:00 AMCIN
12/19 · 1:05 PM v ATL
12/23 · 5:20 PM v TEN
01/02 · 1:05 PM v HOU
01/09 · 1:25 PM @ LAR

2021 Draft Class
1. QB Trey Lance, North Dakota State
2. OG Aaron Banks, Notre Dame
3. RB Trey Sermon, Ohio State
3. CB Ambry Thomas, Michigan
5. OG/OT Jaylon Moore, Western Michigan
5. CB Deommodore Lenoir, Oregon
5. S Talanoa Hufanga, USC
6. RB Elijah Mitchell, Louisiana
2021 Prognostications
Bullit: 12-5
Grumpy: 13-4
NJ49er: 11-6
Skeebers: 14-3
Winder: 12-5
Rob: 17-0
Spitblood: 0-17