Trade Winds

Pro Football Talk has been busy the past week trying to characterize the 49er front office as a powder keg, citing sources that mostly emanate from the Browns’ FO, a group trying to spin themselves into some sort of scenario that doesn’t involve a laugh track and howls of mirth from the NFL audience — or howls of pain from the Cleveland fan base.

The most interesting part of this rumor mongering is the fact that nobody sees anything wacky about Jim Harbaugh’s trade value. He has it, hands down. This is not the norm around the league. Of the 32 NFL HCs only Jim, his brother John Harbaugh, Chip Kelly of the Eagles, Pete Carroll, and maybe Sean Payton of the Saints have any trade value at all.

The other 27 HCs are all either too old (Andy Reid, Bill Belichick, Tom Coughlin), or too close to one side or the other of Warm Body. Retreads, only guy who would take the job, nice but not a difference maker, overrated, Who? Bill O’Brien of the Texans is coming up from the college ranks with a chance to make his mark this year, but don’t hold your breath.

Great head coaches are as hard to find as great QBs — maybe even harder. There’s certainly more of them in the league right now than there are great coaches. Unless any of you find the list below somehow breathtaking. In fact, I’d bet the average fan would be hard pressed to even name what team some of these guys are coaching.

Bruce Arians
Mike Smith
John Harbaugh
Doug Marrone
Ron Rivera
Marc Trestman
Marvin Lewis
Mike Pettine
Jason Garrett
John Fox
Jim Caldwell
Mike McCarthy
Bill O’Brien
Chuck Pagano
Gus Bradley
Andy Reid
Joe Philbin
Mike Zimmer
Bill Belichick
Sean Payton
Tom Coughlin
Rex Ryan
Dennis Allen
Chip Kelly
Mike Tomlin
Mike McCoy
Jim Harbaugh
Pete Carroll
Jeff Fisher
Lovie Smith
Ken Whisenhunt
Jay Gruden




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34 comments on “Trade Winds
  1. FranchiseNo Gravatar says:

    Olbermann last night had a good spin on it – Jed and Trent could have hit the phones right after the loss to the Seapickles and lobbied for a trade similar to the Gruden Raidas deal in 02.

    SB or bust next season has even more urgency now, doesn’t it?

    btw…

    Anybody know if Baalke was there the last three days of the combine? He sure wasn’t snuggling next to Jimbo like Pete and Schneider in their cozy luxury box. Maybe Baalke is irritated with him always sitting next to his brother and comparing notes.

  2. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    The reason it is so important to have a really good play caller is, to win a championship a team typically needs to spend over half their money on defense. There can’t be a weakness on defense or it is usually exposed by many teams. Especially in the play-offs.

    On offense a team can get around a weakness if a coach knows how to design and call plays around that area of weakness.

    There are only a handful of coaches in the NFL who have the instincts to do just that. Sometimes they don’t make for good head coaches but IMO they make it much easier to win a SB, whether is be as the HC (Bill Walsh, Sean Payton) or the OC (Joe Philbin, Norv Turner).

    Regardless of how good the play caller is, the defense still has to be good. The 49ers filled in around the very good D-line with great LBs and decent DBs. Make no mistake that the D-line allows great LBs to be great by keeping blockers off of them.

    My formula for being highly competitive is a D-line, a QB and a play caller. How well the rest is filled in will is what determines getting the championship. That is four components, 3 main and 1 ancillary.

    I believe the 49ers have the equation entirely figured out except play caller. Unfortunately for us, that is one of the main three components of my championship equation.

  3. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Next rumor coming down the pipe in a slow news cycle.
    No way this happens because Revis’ cap hit is $16 mil a year for the next 5 years.
    Can’t afford him and Revis is way overpaid at $1 mil per game.
    Especially if the Bucs want a high draft choice
    in a trade. Another case of wishful thinking on the Bucs part.
    http://espn.go.com/blog/san-francisco-49ers/post/_/id/5388/will-revis-chatter-start-again

  4. FranchiseNo Gravatar says:

    Berger, hopefully as we speak our play caller is in Gore’s Miami training hideaway working on putting more air under the ball in back corner end zone routes.

    Olbermann last night had a good spin on the Jimbo fiasco – Jed and Trent could have hit the phones right after the loss to the Seapickles and lobbied for a trade similar to the Gruden Raidas deal in 02.

    SB or bust next season has even more urgency now, doesn’t it?

    btw…

    Anybody know if Baalke was there the last three days of the combine? He sure wasn’t snuggling next to Jimbo like Pete and Schneider in their cozy luxury box. Maybe Baalke is irritated with him always sitting next to his brother and comparing notes.

  5. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    Franchise- There was nothing wrong with that play call from Kap’s point of view. He did exactly what his coaches taught him to do in that situation. Unfortunately it required a perfectly thrown ball instead of a well thrown ball. Sherman made a play almost no other corner could have made.

    My preference would be to teach the QB to read the situation better. That is on the coaching staff. If the QB is doing what he is taught to do then it isn’t his fault. Maybe after Kap gets his big contract he will be a little more cavalier and see that situation differently. Who in their right mind if they want to be paid, would go against the coach? After he signs his big deal he’ll have more leverage to tell the coach that he didn’t like what he saw so he changed the play on his own. He’s already done that a little. For now it is company line, where do I sign!

  6. unca_chuckNo Gravatar says:

    Well, not to belabor that play, but it did end the season. Kappy, if he IS going to make that throw at that time, has to understand that it’s either Crabsss’ ball or no one’s. Understand the situation from a game-management perspective. It was 1st and 10 from the 18 yard line. Put it in a place where Crabs can get it, or no one can. If the ball sails OB, we live to fight another play. If it’s 4th and goal from the 18? Sure, go for it.

    Beyond that, I’ve read a lot of commments complaining about time management in that situation. That was about the BEST they’d done with it in any game in the past 3 years.

  7. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    Unca- Your point is why I wrote, “My preference would be to teach the QB to read the situation better.”

  8. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    BTW- Reading the situation better includes not calling that play at all. I have never liked the fade route. It is a one look, all or nothing call. That play was not necessary with 30 seconds left, 1st down and time outs left.

  9. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    In the last 3 games at Seattle the Niners have turned the ball over 10 times.
    If I had to give you a single reason for the losses it would be the turnovers whether you call them takeaways or giveaways, they are devastating and tough to overcome especially in a tight game.
    If this gets cleaned up we’ll win some games and shut the 12th Man up.

  10. unca_chuckNo Gravatar says:

    Hence my comment ‘understand the situation from a game-management perspective.’

  11. unca_chuckNo Gravatar says:

    Right, Bergs. It wasn’t all-or-nothing time. Yet. Even on the 5, I’d throw the fade on 1st down. And put it where it’s Crabs or no one. It’s such a low-percentage pass. Unless you have someone like Fitzgerald or Megatron.

  12. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    I would have faked the fade and looked at my other options but for me that is mostly because I don’t like using the fade route in the first place. I hope the coaches are teaching Kap these techniques of negotiating the defense instead of using so many 50/50 plays. Our play calling seems to be predicated on the WRs winning 50/50 balls. That will bite us in the ass when the WRs aren’t winning the match-ups. And then many will blame Kap instead of the coach. In listening to everybody’s post game remarks it sounded like Kap did exactly what the coaching staff taught him to do.

    Alex was reluctant to throw the 50/50 ball. So far Kap is getting away with it like Flacco did for years. You see how it backfired on Flacco this year. If the OC had a better plan we wouldn’t have to rely on so many 50/50 balls.

  13. unca_chuckNo Gravatar says:

    Flacco lost most of his weapons, so the inference is that his shit wouldn’t fly anymore, so to speak.

    Man, I hope they are going to open this up. Kappy was hamstrung early on by lack of guys even able to get a little separation. ED said after the 1st Carolina game that he hadn’t seen a more uninspiring group of WRs (not named Boldin or VD) in his life. He said NO ONE was gaining separation or exploding off the line. That was somewhere around KW’s last game IIRC.

  14. unca_chuckNo Gravatar says:

    And yeah, if you look at the side angle of the infamous play, Boldin is bracketed by a safety and a CB, but the arey pretty far off him. As it was though, Boldin barely looks back for the ball. Meaning he’s not the designeted go-to guy, so he doesn’t bother selling the route very hard. VD is open short, and Gore is open, but for a minimal gain.

    VD would have gotten something like 8-12 if Kappy goes there.

    Oh well . . .

  15. FranchiseNo Gravatar says:

    Exactly, a perfectly thrown ball. The final throw was far too flat. He needed to put the ball over the receivers outside shoulder – if he did the 49ers are in the Super Bowl. Crabtree beat Dick Sherman by a yard and a half on the play.

    On the other hand, let’s not let Crabtree off scot free. Crabtree could have cut off Dick Sherman (throttle down) and have him run up his back.

    But in the end, it was a pre-snap read and the kid got anxious, throwing a fastball on his heels. And the savvy, well-coached Malcolm Smith was in the right place at the right time. Lesson learned once again. I’ve moved on. The third time on that same throw next season better be the charm.

  16. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Franchise the bigger issue for me was, Kaeps’ pre-snap decision to lock onto Crabtree, at the expense of the other options available to him.

    Happened on successive plays in the SB vs Baltimore, again in crunch time vs Seattle.

    Whether he was coached to do it or, he chose to do it, it’s myopic and narrow-minded.

    You can’t dismiss the ability of other guys in the system with that much at stake.

  17. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    All he succeeded at doing was to give Sherman the chance to drive the stake through our hearts.
    Find a better matchup.

    For me, Kendall on the LB or, Patton on the edge would have been more prudent.
    Especially with timeouts in hand and clock left to manage.

  18. robNo Gravatar says:

    yup we had time and the timeouts to try two more plays before the all or nothing to crabtree ! that’s on the coaches imo !

  19. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Analysis of Sack Specialists available in draft and how they got their numbers. Who could ask for anything more?
    http://www.rotoworld.com/articles/cfb/46337/349/peshek-sack-study-10

  20. Grumpy GuyNo Gravatar says:

    I have to agree that I did not like the call with that much time on the clock. The last thing you want to do is give the ball back to Seattle with *any* time for Wilson to answer. Get another first down, get closer, cut it down to 15 seconds or so, then take your end zone shots.

    But hindsight is 20-20.

  21. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    The NY Giants are asking Baas to take a pay cut or be cut
    “Baas, a second-rounder in 2005, is signed through 2015. He’s due to make a base salary of $4.75 million, and he has a cap number of $8.225 million.”
    Baas is average at best and is overpaid and injury prone.
    Should not be considered if cut as he’s also in his 30’s.

  22. FranchiseNo Gravatar says:

    Love Kony Ealy. Top ten pick. Let’s just scrap the WR in round 1 plan and get ourselves another Mizzou Tiger on the D Line.

    Texans will take Clowney, a Bugatti Veyron that chooses to drive just under the speed limit and obey traffic rules. When all is said and done, which player in the top 5 would you not want to face every Sunday, even a 1/2 speed. Clowney is the guy.

  23. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    49ers are extending Kilgore’s contract, which appears to make him our starting center next year.

  24. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    Here’s a pot stirrer:
    “According to a source at Miami international airport, a flight to Miami has been chartered by John York & Trent Baalke set to land at 6:00 pm.”

  25. FranchiseNo Gravatar says:

    Oh this is getting good Skeebers:

    https://twitter.com/TDavenport_BSN/status/439132426745696256

    Who’s Davenport anyway?

    Paraag and exec secretary on flight as well.

    Maybe they’re meeting Gore in Miami for dinner and checking in to see how his offseason training is progressing.

  26. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    My guess is Kap is signing his extension in Miami. Maybe we are trading Harbaugh? Maybe Gore is throwing another party?

  27. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    Franchise- I watched a 9 minute video on youtube of Ealy playing against Florida this morning because I saw a mock draft had us taking him in RD 1. I was thoroughly unimpressed. I should probably watch another game but he got sucked inside constantly when the play came his way and he did not hold the edge. He made many plays when his assignment was to operate in space. He did not manhandle one opponent. Maybe this was just a bad game but from what I saw vs Florida I’d pass on Ealy.

  28. FranchiseNo Gravatar says:

    Based on what I saw in Auburn and Kentucky games. Has the frame to put on more weight and muscle.

    I’ll check out the Florida game on YT. Surprised the mock you saw had him dropping to the 30 spot.

    Mizzou has become D-Line U lately. Sheldon ‘Dancing Bear’ Richardson was another gem from last year.

  29. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    I think Auburn gained about 400 yards rushing on Mizzu. It’s hard to imagine he did anything good. The D-line was practically non-existent.

  30. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Jed York says the story is false and he’s on a plane with his family
    https://twitter.com/JedYork/status/439159247700766721/photo/1

  31. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Grant Cohn is trying to create a story where there is none.
    He’s implying Jed is in Miami to make a trade.
    Even after seeing jed’s tweet, Cohn said tghat Jewd didn’t say he was on vacation.
    I wonder what Grant Cohn would be doing if his dad didn’t get him a job? What a dork!

  32. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Grant’s father Lowell Cohn can’t be taken seriously.
    Lowell Cohn wrote on 2/24:
    “My gut feeling — I’m going on nothing more than my gut — tells me something almost happened. That general manager Mike Lombardi of the Browns reached out to Harbaugh — they worked together at the Raiders. I’m following my gut here. Lombardi could have offered more money and more control over personnel — things Harbaugh does not have in Santa Clara. Harbaugh would be rid of Trent Baalke, who may be an antagonist. My gut tells me Harbaugh was interested in the Browns. When Lombardi got fired, the deal fell apart.

    Again, I am not saying any of this is fact. I know nothing about the facts. But this scenario makes sense to me.”
    ===
    Mike Pettine was hired as HC of the Browns on 1/23/14
    Mike Lombardi was fired on 2/11/14.

    What does Lowell Cohn’s gut tell him that the Brown’s already hired a Head Coach and his gut has them negotiating with Harbaugh 14 days after? Lowell Cohn didn’t think this through before he went to his “gut”.

  33. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    New post is up.

2018 Schedule
9-9, L: Vikings 24, 49ers 16
9-16, W: 49ers 30, Lions 27
9-23, L: Chiefs 38, 49ers 27
9-30, L: Chargers 29, 49ers 27
10-7, L: Cardinals 28, 49ers 18
10-15, L: Packers 33, 49ers 30

10-21: vs. Rams, 5:20 pm, Sun.
10-28: @ Cardinals, 1:25 pm, Sun.
11-1: vs. Raiders, 5:20 pm, Thur.
11-12: vs. Giants, 5:15 pm, Mon.
BYE
11-25: @ Tampa, 10:00 am, Sun.
12-2: @ Seattle, 5:20 pm, Sun.
12-9: vs. Broncos, 1:25 pm, Sun.
12-16: vs. Seattle, 1:25 pm, Sun.
12-23: vs. Bears, 1:05 pm, Sun.
12-30: @ Rams, 1:25 pm, Sun.
 
2018 Draft Class
1. OT Mike McGlinchey
2. WR Dante Pettis
3. LB Fred Warner
3. DB Tarvarius Moore
4. DE Kentavius Street
5. CB D.J. Reed
6. S Marcell Harris
7. DT Jullian Taylor
7. WR Richie James
 
2018 Prognostications
Bakkentom: 8-8
Bullit: 9-7
Grumpy: 8-8
Mr Fletch: 7-9
NJ49er: 9-7
Skeebers: 10-6
Winder: 8-8

Spitblood: 0-16
Rob!!!: 16-0

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