Rolling The Dice

A 49er loss to the Cardinals next Sunday would give the team that was going to win the NFC West the number five pick in the 2011 draft. Egads. What a spectacular flop.

Unfortunately, the team will probably win the game and drop all the way down to around the tenth spot. The area of the draft that has become a sort of home to the franchise the past five years. Top tier of the bottom feeders club.

I said yesterday that the team has a lot of good players and was promptly reminded we don’t have a QB, so what does it matter? It matters a lot, actually, but it is also true that without a good QB no team is going to have much success. Aaron Rogers is a good QB, but he most likely wouldn’t be if he had been drafted by the 2005 San Francisco 49ers.

This wordsmith does not have a clue who our next regime will be, nor a lot of confidence that those chosen will be the answer. To me, the single most important factor that separates the elite teams from the other teams is blind luck. The luck of having the number one pick in the correct year or the luck of finding a HOF QB in the sixth round, or the third round for you folks with memories that go back thirty odd years. I’m not denying that good coaches and management are important, they are very important. But without luck, you have the Pittsburgh Steelers from 1981 to 2005. Good, but no cigar.

At this point in franchise futility, however, good would be a welcome change. Big time. And the 2010 team should have at least been good.

It’s reported that Jed York is consulting with Uncle Eddie about whom to hire as the General Manager, or maybe whom to talk to about whom to hire. That’s good for the PR mill, but I seriously doubt Eddie has any particular insight into the matter. Outside of the luck of hiring Bill Walsh and the devotion acquired by a big heart and a bottomless wallet, Eddie never got much of anything else right.

It’s also said Jed is consulting with Robert Kraft of the Patriots. This doesn’t impress me all that much either. Kraft never got anything right either, until hiring Bill Belichick and lucking into Tom Brady.

As you can see, I’m having a Clint Eastwood moment: Do you feel lucky? Not particularly. But luck is where and when you find it, so who knows? I do feel like it is not asking too much to cease being a league laughing stock, however. That is a reasonable expectation for the oncoming new era in San Francisco. GET IT RIGHT! ENOUGH OF THE BULLSHIT!

The one positive development that I know will be an improvement is that the Yorks will soon be out of the football decision business. We may not hire the right GM, but at least he will be a GM who is like, you know, a football guy of some sort. Having a football guy hire the next Head Coach is much more reassuring than having Paraag Marthe’s computer hire one or Jed York’s youthful emotions hire one.

And it will restore the pecking order for who exactly us blogomaniacs can dump on for precisely what role they have in the next disaster by the Bay. Or, if luck is prepared to smile our way again, whom to applaud. We still know how to applaud, don’t we?

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Posted in FOS Speculation
12 comments on “Rolling The Dice
  1. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    Soon we will know if we are toasting Gambrinus or drowning in sorrow with his good invention.
    About a month ago Eddie D said his luck was hiring Walsh.

  2. TonyNo Gravatar says:

    thats right guys …we need Luck….

  3. TonyNo Gravatar says:

    what do you guys think of Cam Newton ?

  4. TonyNo Gravatar says:

    Newtons 24 point 4th qtr comeback against ‘bama was pretty impressive….kind of reminds me of Vick…but Vick wasnt much of a passer at Newtons age….in the event we cant make a deal to get Luck

  5. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    I will guess our next GM will be Floyd Reece. Just a hunch.

  6. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    That’s a pretty good guess, Berger. He has a good track record and some long ago 49er ties.

  7. RTFireflyNo Gravatar says:

    1) A shutdown corner.
    2) Kyle Orton
    3) A 4-3 pass-rushing DE to use situationally (I know we run a 3-4).
    Then we’ll talk.

  8. delmardennisNo Gravatar says:

    I’ll stick with the same organization, but I’ll go the younger route. Nick Caserio, the Director of Player Personnel of the Patriots. He’s a young (35) up-and-comer who knows nothing but how to win. He’s an offensive mind [played QB in college] was the Pats WR coach the yr Moss broke the TD record, offensive Asst to Belichick and he’s worked in damn near every facet of the game. Was teammates with Josh McDaniels in college. Bring him in to be OC. Native of Ohio. York should like that as well.

  9. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    Great, just what we need, a 35 year old GM to go along with our 29 year old President. If that happens invest in Tonka Toys. They’ll be buying plenty for the team meetings. Next will be a 25 year old head coach.

  10. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    LaCanfora thinks Baalke will end up being the GM.

  11. bigtimNo Gravatar says:

    it looks like the Harbaugh/gruden sweepstakes are in play now Jed has hinted that there his first choices.
    I am leaning towards Harbaugh myself but either on would be a huge improvement over Sing and the run it up the butt routine.
    my real interest is is Alex going to start and will M.Johnson realy open it up there both trying out for jobs somewhere next year and this is there chance to really beat up on a cellar dweller to end the season.
    another guess is will we see some more Navaro Bowman at linebacker with Wilis and Spikes nursing hand injuries, no need to risk Willis with nothing on the line, Takeo might not care since this may be his last game as a niner or a NFL player for that matter, he may get a consolation year because of his solid play this year hard to say.

  12. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    Peter King seems to think we might get Harbaugh!

2021 Schedules
09/12: W 49ers 41, Lions 33
09/19: W 49ers 17, Eagles 11
09/26: L Packers 30, 49ers 28
10/03: L Seahawks 28, 49ers 21
10/10: L Cardinals 17, 49ers 10
10/17 BYE
10/24: L Colts 30, 49ers 18
10/31: W 49ers 33, Bears 22
11/07: L Cardinals 31, 49ers 17
11/15: W 49ers 31, Rams 10L
11/21: W 49ers 30, Jaguars 10
11/28: W 49ers 34, Vikings 26
12/05: L Seahawks 30, 49ers 23 12/12 · 10:00 AMCIN
12/19 · 1:05 PM v ATL
12/23 · 5:20 PM v TEN
01/02 · 1:05 PM v HOU
01/09 · 1:25 PM @ LAR

2021 Draft Class
1. QB Trey Lance, North Dakota State
2. OG Aaron Banks, Notre Dame
3. RB Trey Sermon, Ohio State
3. CB Ambry Thomas, Michigan
5. OG/OT Jaylon Moore, Western Michigan
5. CB Deommodore Lenoir, Oregon
5. S Talanoa Hufanga, USC
6. RB Elijah Mitchell, Louisiana
2021 Prognostications
Bullit: 12-5
Grumpy: 13-4
NJ49er: 11-6
Skeebers: 14-3
Winder: 12-5
Rob: 17-0
Spitblood: 0-17