Mock Train to Boot Hill

One more week until the 2018 Draft, when the 49ers will select some guys and find out if they can play and if they can stay out of trouble. And the thousands of mock drafts will magically disappear to some graveyard of embarrassing endeavors, never to be seen or even acknowledged again.

Next season’s schedule should be released this week, ushering in the mock prognostications period. This mock period will be held to a higher standard, however, and reside in the right column all year long.

The only sure thing about the Draft is that it will open with Roger Goodell walking to the podium while getting booed lustily. Then the Browns wil screw up the number one pick. Although the Browns have a legitimate GM this year in John Dorsey, so maybe we’ll have to wait until HC Hue Jackson screws up whomever Dorsey selects.

For the first time, the Draft will be shown on more channels than just ESPN. Fox and ABC, plus four cable outlets (ESPN, ESPN2, ESPN Deportes, NFL Network) will all cover the event, elevating the Draft to virtually the same importance as a national political convention.

At any rate, if 33 years of Mel Kiper has stretched you to the breaking point, this year you’ll have an alternative. Although several hours of Troy Aikman might be so awesomely dull that Kiper becomes weirdly appealing again.

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66 comments on “Mock Train to Boot Hill
  1. robNo Gravatar says:

    LOL nice one skeebs !

  2. WinderNo Gravatar says:

    I am one of those that can’t stand Kiper even when he says nice things about the Niners he still sounds like he’s full of it. I also hate the way the draft is done they should give every team 5 minutes and let the draft run 15 rounds and finish in one day. The undrafted FA is silly and unnessacery when walk-ons worked for years. Commercialism in football sucks. That’s my 2cents.

  3. WinderNo Gravatar says:

    I believe Cleveland is gonna hit the jackpot this year. If I was a betting man I would say the Jets are the ones who blow it.

  4. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    “Reuben Foster no longer facing the misdemeanor ammunition charge due to previously raised issues with the law in question.”

  5. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    Fox, ABC, ESPNx, and NFL Network. What has changed. Not the NFL fanship.

    Mainstream media is a joke. Finally technology is stripping away the facade of a rating system populated with corrupt agenda driven lefties overstating viewership and stealing money from sponsor’s. Unbundling of cable and satellite TV packages is exposing the fraud.

    Thank you to streaming media, like netflix and hulu. When will sponsors demand an accurate rating system. Media is corrupt. Time to slay the dragon.

  6. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    From NN trade down or BPA article:

    A summary of the 49ers best trade back options

    The 49ers pick #1.09 is worth 1350 points on the outdated Jimmy Johnson value chart. It’s an outdated chart, but still provides a relatively pertinent guideline for trade backs from the top 10 in recent drafts. Any team wanting to trade into the top 10 is going to have to pay a premium on the order of 5 to 20% (or 67 to 270 points on the JJ value chart). Here are my proposed trade back deals for the 49ers at #9 (from most likely to least likely):

    1. Cards trade: 1.15 (1050 points on the JJ chart) + 2.47 (430 pts) = 130 point premium.
    2. Bills trade: 1.12 (1200 pts) + 3.65 (265 pts) = 115 point premium
    3. Chargers trade: 1.17 (950 pts) + 2.48 (420 pts) + 4.119 (56 pts) = 76 point premium.
    4. Dolphins trade: 1.11 (1250 pts) + 3.73 (225 pts) = 125 point premium.
    5. Skins trade: 1.13 (1150 pts) + 2.44 (460 pts) for the 49ers 1.09 + the 49ers’ 2019 Round 3 pick [worth ~160 pts] = ~100 point premium.

    The Bills trade would most likely be an interim trade up in an attempt to trade up into the top 6 (with the Giants, Browns or Colts) for their preferred QB.

    Posted by UnfrozenCavemanSpectator on Apr 14, 2018 | 9:54 AM

    ARI has their HC and GM on a death watch with glass Bradford and geek Glennon. A QB at #9 if there will buy them into 2019 at least.

  7. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    BUFF needs OT and IOL. Trent Brown for their 2nd? SF visiting with Kolton Miller and Tyrell Crosby. Can we get a 2nd anywhere for C. J. Beathard?

  8. bullitNo Gravatar says:


    If you want to draft a smart and instinctive MLB that’s football savvy
    you can have this guy in Round 3, Josey Jewell from Iowa.

  9. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    He made my List Bullit –

    Hoping he’ll be a Mid-Late RD option – Not much in the way of a 40 –

    Josey Jewell, ILB, Iowa Height: 6-1 Weight: 234 40-Time: 4.82
    (6.80 Cone) (18 Reps) (33″ Vert) –

    Christian Sam, ILB, Arizona St. Height: 6-1 Weight: 244
    40-Time: 4.75 (7.03 Cone) (28 Reps) (32″ Vert) –

  10. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    ILB –

    Leon Jacobs, OLB (ILB) Wisconsin Height: 6-1 Weight: 246 40-4.48
    (7.14 Cone) (26 Reps) (34.5″ Vert) –

    Harold Landry, OLB, (ILB) Boston College Height: 6-2 Weight: 252
    40-Time: 4.64 (1.59 Split) (6.88 Cone) (36″ Vert) (24 Reps) –

    Oren Burks, OLB, (ILB) (SS) Vanderbilt Height: 6-3 Weight: 233
    40-Time: 4.59 (6.82 Cone) (39.5 Vert) (18 Reps) –

    Malik Jefferson, ILB, Texas Height: 6-2 Weight: 236 40-4.52
    (36″ Vert) –

    Matthew Thomas, OLB (ILB) Florida St. Height: 6-3 Weight: 232
    40-Time: 4.65 (6.85 Cone) (41.5″ Vert) –

  11. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Skeebs I may have tripped the spam trigger with the last post I made –
    Several hyper-links involved with my ILB proposals for Bullit –

    It took my Late RD guys that dragged a piano through the 40 😀

    Jewell and Sam might work well if they aren’t asked to cover.
    Pushing 4.8s won’t get it done.

  12. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Ahh nevermind.
    I see them now.
    Perhaps you caught them before I called attention to them?

  13. bullitNo Gravatar says:


    Jewell’s numbers don’t jump out and are average at best.
    No doubt Jewwll has a nose foer the ball and extraordinary football instincts. The measurables aren’t outstanding but the reults are there.
    Jewell has been compared to Sean Lee and his production is like Chris Borland.
    At worst he’ll be like starting LBs in this league who we’ve both coveted in the past like Blake Martinez, AJ Klein and Jake Ryan.

  14. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Jewell was a tackling machine Bullit – Can’t ignore numbers like that.
    In a specialized role he’s more than adequate IMO
    Thought you’d be happy with my inclusion of Malik Jefferson? 😀

  15. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Kinda see Burks as a SS/ILB ‘Tweener too.

  16. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Wonder if it’s just a coincidence that last two Alabama LBs drafted in ist round have had huge legal problems. Rolando McClain and Foster have had their challenges being law abiding citizens.

    Another Bama high draft pick of the Niners, Glenn Coffee decided football wasn’t for him and he flirted with the ministry and then joined the military where he is an instructor at Ranger School in Ft Elgin. Coffee has stated he never loved the game of football but never reveled that to the front office that drafted him and he ultimately quit.

  17. bullitNo Gravatar says:


    Malik Jefferson has great measurable but lacks the natural instincts.
    His career at Texas shows he guess right a lot and makes spectacular plays but when he’s wrong he takes himself out and that leads to 15+ yard gains.

    When he signed with Texas he was the #1 LB in the country but has not played up to expectations. If he’s around in third round I would take a look at him. If it came down to Jewell or Jefferson I would opt for Jewell because he’s more of a sure thing and will be a solid 10 year starter. Jefferson has the chance to be either All Pro or a bust. I’ll go with football instincts over combine measurables.

  18. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Staley is about ink a new 2 year deal

    “According to Ian Rapoport of the NFL Network, the 49ers have agreed to terms on a new deal for left tackle Joe Staley which represents a pay increase for the next two seasons.
    He was due to make $11 million over the last two years of his contract, but will now make $17.4 million, and a bump from $5.5 million to $8.72 million this year.
    The 33-year-old Staley is still playing at a high level, which itself justifies the raise.
    But he’s also a stable presence for a young team on the rise with quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo, which makes him an even more valuable part.”

    Niners now have 2 year window to find a new LT.

  19. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    WordPress will generally treat any comment with three or more links as spam, NJ. One of yours above had more. I fished it out.

  20. robNo Gravatar says:

    Good deal with Staley ! He gets the big money he deserves and a bit overdue and it’s only 5 mil more vs. the cap !

  21. WinderNo Gravatar says:

    Glad to see Staley get rewarded like that he deserves every bit of that raise. He is the type of player Lynch and KS can mold the team around, a perfect team player.

  22. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Gracios Skeebs – Knew you had to have seen it 😀

  23. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Bullit I would think this years’ OT Class has some Mid RD gems to consider as developmental options.
    I like O’Neill and Noteboom if they get to RD3 or beyond –

    Brian O’Neill, OT, Pittsburgh Height: 6-7 Weight: 297 40-4.82
    (1.70 Split) (7.14 Cone) (22 Reps) –

    Joseph Noteboom, OT, (OG) T.C.U. Height: 6-5 Weight: 309 40-4.96 (1.72 Split) (7.65 Cone) (35 Reps) –

  24. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    I’m mildy curious about whether your OT Connor Williams might convert to OG as well? A smidge short for the Edge but a reasonable option to use as a Swing OT if necessary I’d imagine?

    Height and wingspan are always a factor at the OT position.

    Really like Kolton Miller too but, he’s gonna go RD1 possibly 2 at the latest.

  25. bullitNo Gravatar says:


    I believe Connor Williams is the top offensive tackle in this draft.
    He’s solid and can slide inside as an OG until you need him to move to OT. If Lynch can’t decide who to take or they trade and move down. the Niners should take Williams and you’ll have a starter on a track just like Staley.

    I think O’Neill will be a better pro than Kolton Miller. Miller is the guy who gave up the sacks that got Rosen injured. He was projected as a 3rd rounder and now has moved into the first round.
    O’Neill should go early in the second round.

  26. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    There is a Mike McGlinchey LT from Notre Dame also. Analysts have them as 1 or 2. Also Orlando Brown Jr. But he is 335 lbs and does not move well enough for LT for OZ scheme.

  27. NJ49ERNo Gravatar says:

    Brown doesn’t seem like a ZBS fit to me either Bakkentom.
    Not to mention he completely tanked the Combine audition.
    I don’t even consider him an option simply on athletic merits.

  28. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    NFL Schedule is released tomorrow in a two hour show on NFL Network
    starting at 5pm.

    Speculation is that Niners will appear in prime time national games at least four times this season. That says a lot in what is your perceived relevance to the league. 3 years ago nobody cared with minimal interest including most on this blog.

  29. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    If a team covets Lamar Jackson as a QB that means 5 QBs could be taken in the top ten and the Niners are in a prime position to trade back a few spots and gain another top 50 pick.

    This draft is that deep where this might be a winning strategy for the Niners. They are not in love with any particular player so unless Nelson or Barkley fall to $9 the smart play might be to trade back if you find a willing partner.

  30. bullitNo Gravatar says:


    Must be the times. Connor Williams is 6ft 4 5/8 305 lbs.

    Reminds me that the Niners functioned with Dan Audick a 6’2″ 252 lb LT in 1981 on a 13-3 Super Bowl team. How the league has changed

  31. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Hence my speculation that Williams/Noteboom might work on the Interior OL Bullit –
    Should be an interesting opening RD for sure.
    Possibly kicking others down the Board –

  32. NoFearNo Gravatar says:

    for anybody who called him mc clueless

    uh, I forget, who was the HC back then?

  33. robNo Gravatar says:

    I’m not even going to make fun of you about your Mike Nolan reference Fear.

  34. bullitNo Gravatar says:


    Another sleeper at WR Jaleel Scott New Mexico St 6’5″ 205 lbs. Big catch radius and might be a 4-5th rounder. Good red zone target


    Still like Justin Watson but Scott would be a nice pick in the 5th round

  35. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    I’m still anxious to see whether Shanny has any interest in EqStBrown Bullit.
    IMO he’s likely to fly under the radar in relation to Ridley/CSutton.
    Sutton could likley be a target of Jerruh, now that Dez was sent packing and, he’s an SMU product. We’ll see soon enough.

    EqStBrown toiled in a no-fun Offense for WRs at ND too.
    Hoping he makes it to RD3-4.

  36. NoFearNo Gravatar says:


    People like to credit who they like, at the time, or blame who they don’t. Not a lot of support around for Scot McCloughan when he was here. But I guess that’s the nature of fans who think they’ve got it all figured out.

  37. NoFearNo Gravatar says:

    Shot heard round the world fired today 1775.

    Some folks think it was all because some hooligans were taking a knee.

  38. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    Inman: “I’m hearing 49ers will open season Sept. 9 at Vikings. Getting NFC runner-up out of the gate. After that will be 5 prime-time games.”

  39. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    49ers’ 2018 Schedule:

    Week 1: @ Minnesota Vikings, 10:00 am Sunday, September 9
    Week 2: vs. Detroit Lions, 1:25 pm, Sunday, September 16
    Week 3: @ Kansas City Chiefs, 10:00 am, Sunday, September 23
    Week 4: @ Los Angeles Chargers, 1:25 pm, Sunday, September 30
    Week 5: vs. Arizona Cardinals, 1:25 pm, Sunday, October 7
    Week 6: @ Green Bay Packers, 5:15 pm, Monday, October 15
    Week 7: vs. Los Angeles Rams, 5:20 pm, Sunday, October 21
    Week 8: @ Arizona Cardinals, 1:25 pm, Sunday, October 28
    Week 9: vs. Oakland Raiders, 5:20 pm, Thursday, November 1
    Week 10: vs. New York Giants, 5:15 pm, Monday, November 12
    Week 11: BYE
    Week 12: @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 10:00 am, Sunday, November 25
    Week 13: @ Seattle Seahawks, 5:20 pm, Sunday, December 2
    Week 14: vs. Denver Broncos, 1:25 pm, Sunday, December 9
    Week 15: vs. Seattle Seahawks, 1:25 pm, Sunday, December 16
    Week 16: vs. Chicago Bears, 1:05 pm, Sunday, December 23
    Week 17: @ Los Angeles Rams, 1:25 pm, Sunday, December 30

  40. WinderNo Gravatar says:

    Well, hopefully the Vikings will still be ironing out some kinks for the first game. Good to get that road game out of the way. Seattle for two out of three in December doesn’t sound to good to me but who knows. I also like that we have a Monday game after our Thursday game, every little bit helps and they are both at home. The problem is that we still won’t have any football for another 3 months.

  41. WinderNo Gravatar says:

    At first glance it looks like an 8-8 season to me.

  42. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    5 prime games means a lot of love from the NFL

    Under Tomsula/Kelly/Baalke this team was hard to watch. Quite a turnaround in perception after one season.

    “The 49ers join the Cowboys, Packers, Chiefs, Rams, Patriots, Saints, Eagles, Steelers and Seahawks with five prime-time games, according to NFL Research.”

    Jags only have one scheduled prime time game which is the minimum for all NFL teams. Somebody at NFL headquarters just doesn’t like the Jags.

  43. bullitNo Gravatar says:


    Seahags will be lucky to be a .500 team this year. They have lost a lot and it’s going to show on the field.

  44. WinderNo Gravatar says:

    bullit- That’s quite possible but they still have Wilson and he just give us fits. I figured we would split our games. But, who knows what our team (or theirs) will look like come December. I would love it if we could take 2.

  45. bullitNo Gravatar says:


    Without Sherman, Chancellor, Avril and Sheldon Richardson the Seahag D will be a shell of what it used to be.
    On offense Seahags lost their top 2 TEs in Graham and Luke Wilson as well as WR Paul Richardson. Wilson has limited weapons.

    Where they go in draft will be telling. Pete Carroll will be 67 years old in Sept so he might be looking to retire in the next couple of years when the team is in a downturn.

  46. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Per Barrows

    ” a road-heavy schedule in the first half of the season, means the 49ers only depart the state of California twice — to Tampa and Seattle — after Oct. 28, which is the midpoint of the season.”

    No worries about winter travel and cold weather games in the frozen tundra in 2018 unless we talk playoffs.

  47. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    The schedule also helps avoid the heat stroke scenarios at Levis in Sept and Oct if you are sitting in the sunny side of the stadium.

    To make Levis state of the art the Niners are going to have to spend the money and create a canopy to block the sun. That would be $25 mil well spent.

    Miami is having the same problem and are spending the money to keep their fans cool.

  48. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    My guess is the NFL has been hurt enough by the kneeling impact to want to grow revenues in regions that have under performed.

    Rams happened last year. Now the niners. Cali has been a wasteland for a long time. Needs to be turned back on. Cali money is in the north.

    Favoritism? More like stoking business. Dollars and cents.

  49. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    Gotta get. Saw the video months ago. Size and smarts for pass pro and OZ.

  50. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Preseason game times released

    Week 1: vs. Dallas Cowboys, Thursday, Aug. 9, 7 p.m. KPIX
    Week 2: at Houston Texans, Saturday, Aug. 18, 5 p.m. KPIX
    Week 3: at Indianapolis Colts, Saturday, Aug. 25, 1:30 p.m. KPIX
    Week 4: at Los Angeles Chargers, Thursday, Aug. 30, 7 p.m. KPIX

    The very very early line for game 1 has the Vikes as a 4.5 point favorite

  51. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Preseason Game 4 is a home game at Levis on Aug 30th

  52. Grumpy GuyNo Gravatar says:

    If we don’t have another hurricane of injuries this year, I think we can break .500 and go 9-7 or 10-6 if everything breaks right. Maybe even steal a wild card spot down the stretch. Can’t see us getting deep into the playoffs yet though.

    Of course, one bad hit or regression by Garoppolo, and we’ll be back in 2-14 territory.

    The rebuild of the Offensive line is going to be a big part of where we end up this year.

  53. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Foster catching some good luck with the Ex perhaps?

  54. NoFearNo Gravatar says:

    NJ49er, if by “catching” you mean, paying big piles of cash for, of course he is. And the purpose of all that foot-dragging by the hypocrite clown trio becomes clear.

  55. NoFearNo Gravatar says:

    R. Lee Ermey, who once decorated and delivered with punch my pearls of wisdom and bullshit, passed this week.

    RIP Gunny Hartman.

  56. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Precisely NoFear – Money talks when it matters –
    RIP R.Lee Ermey as well –

  57. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Pretty obvious how the tune between TBrock and Foster changed, especially when it was a guy Drafted before Lynch/Shanny arrived, vs one of ‘their guys’ huh?
    Ray McD got all sorts of slack as well, Aldon too for that matter.
    If memory serves, Ray McD had charges dropped as GF didn’t press charges?

    Guess they’re a little gun shy since TBrock was acquitted perhaps?
    No consistency, unless you apply the usual dysfunction factors associated with all things York.

    Principles, schminciples in York-speak I guess?
    Not surprising.

  58. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    In the immortal words of our cross town rival, “Just win, baby”.

  59. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    York says stuff for PR purposes.

    The fact of the matter if the Niners cut Foster there are 10 teams out there that wouldn’t hesitate to pick him up.

    For example in 2015 the Seahags drafted DL Frank Clark who had a plea bargain deal pleading guilty to lesser domestic violence and assault charges. Clark had been kicked off the Michigan football team for the incident but Petey had no reservations in picking Clark.
    This doesn’t square with me that the Niners stood on principle and for the next 10 seasons watch Foster wreak havoc.

    We all know Foster is talented and I am willing to give him one more chance for this contract period. If he stays clean for the next 4 years I will wipe the slate clean.

    Let the legal process play itself out and if I were the Niners I would plan on Fosetr missing significant time this season to get his life in order.

  60. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    My stance is NFL players not only are investigated by municipal and state authorities but also by NFL security and 49er Security teams.

    These days even if a player are deemed not guilty in local courts, the NFL might still suspend them so in a way NFL players are held to a higher standard.

  61. WinderNo Gravatar says:

    The Niners were gonna dump Brock anyway, he had been a pain in the ass before. Apples and Oranges.

  62. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Draft starts Thursday in Jerryworld in Dallas.
    Just revealed that fans attending will be sitting in different sections based on which team you support.

  63. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    New post is up.

2021 Schedules
09/12: W 49ers 41, Lions 33
09/19: W 49ers 17, Eagles 11
09/26: L Packers 30, 49ers 28
10/03: L Seahawks 28, 49ers 21
10/10: L Cardinals 17, 49ers 10
10/17 BYE
10/24: L Colts 30, 49ers 18
10/31: W 49ers 33, Bears 22
11/07: L Cardinals 31, 49ers 17
11/15: W 49ers 31, Rams 10L
11/21: W 49ers 30, Jaguars 10
11/28: W 49ers 34, Vikings 26
12/05: L Seahawks 30, 49ers 23 12/12 · 10:00 AMCIN
12/19 · 1:05 PM v ATL
12/23 · 5:20 PM v TEN
01/02 · 1:05 PM v HOU
01/09 · 1:25 PM @ LAR

2021 Draft Class
1. QB Trey Lance, North Dakota State
2. OG Aaron Banks, Notre Dame
3. RB Trey Sermon, Ohio State
3. CB Ambry Thomas, Michigan
5. OG/OT Jaylon Moore, Western Michigan
5. CB Deommodore Lenoir, Oregon
5. S Talanoa Hufanga, USC
6. RB Elijah Mitchell, Louisiana
2021 Prognostications
Bullit: 12-5
Grumpy: 13-4
NJ49er: 11-6
Skeebers: 14-3
Winder: 12-5
Rob: 17-0
Spitblood: 0-17