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The Outsider likes to spoof former 49er head coach Mike Nolan because it’s fun and it always riled up the Igloo Man who has evidently departed the premises. But, with Tuesday’s Pro Bowl announcements, Nolan’s last draft here, the 2007 draft, deserves some kudos. That draft hauled in three pro bowlers (Patrick Willis, Joe Staley, Dashon Goldson), plus Ray McDonald and Terrell Brown — two pretty good core players. So, thanks for that one, Mike. Excellent work.

The Rams and the 49ers have played 124 games against each other and are in a dead even tie: 61-61-2. This useless bit of information will probably fire up the team for Sunday’s game and a chance to take the all time lead in this sixty year old rivalry. Cough, cough.

(mm(((Comp/Att)-3) * 5) + mm(((Yards/Att)-3) * .25) + mm((TD/Att) * 20) + (2.375 – ((Int/Att)*25)) divided by 6) * 100. This is the formula for calculating a quarterback’s QB rating, give or take a misplaced or missing parenthesis. Pretty straightforward math gobbledygook if you are a pointy-headed alien, but a bit beyond the average football fan’s mind span. The critical element in the above equation is the bolded area. It is this element that heavily weights the ratings toward QBs who throw TD passes, whether those passes are 50 yard bombs or merely from the one yard line. A QB on a team that can score on the ground is going to be penalized in the above system.

This formula is a bit of contrived baloney. The NFL likes it, though, because it elevates mad bomber QBs to the status of gods, even allowing them to have scores greater than 100. This is a wowzer element to us B and C students who rarely even broke 90. When a perfect score is 158.3, you know somebody is slinging some heavyweight B.S.

A + B + C = three blocks of alphabet wood you can throw off the forehead of a fellow classmate. Now that is math we can all relate to. Or is it just me?

I’m still savoring last Saturday’s win in Seattle. Beating those guys in their own house was sweet. And no victory this year more aptly shows the difference between this year’s squad and last year’s. Last year, one bad play by Nate Clements and the roof fell in. The team was in complete disarray the rest of the game. This year’s team did not even bat an eye after that blocked punt which completely changed the game’s momentum. Straight down the field to retake the lead. Very, very impressive.

Braylon Edwards got pink slipped Monday, which sent a lot of fingers to the noggin scatching post. He hasn’t done squat this year, but at the time of his release, the 49ers had only one healthy receiver on the roster — Michael Crabtree. The good news is the move apparently signals that Kyle Williams and Ted Ginn are both healthy enough to play. Otherwise, and even if, this release has not yet been explained and has all the murky implications that surrounded the abrupt dismissal of Scot McCloughan two years ago. McCloughan allegedly had his head in the bottle, and the likely explanation for where Braylon’s head was located most likely would be somewhere around lower-mid-rear torso. Perhaps we will get a more nospeak explanation today.

In the meantime, I will turn my attention to worrying about how we can beat the Rams this Sunday. Step one would be to show up. I’m not sure if any more steps are needed, but I promise to research the matter thoroughly. Perhaps.

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54 comments on “Mensa Members Only
  1. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    ATL gave up a boatload of draft picks so they could move up to draft Julio Jones. Falcons are 9-6
    and Jones has 50 catches and has 6 TDs. Falcons digressed and gave up 2 #1s, a #2 and 2 4th rd picks
    to draft Jones. As far as this season goes it wasn’t a good trade
    but time will tell.
    Maybe it’s luck but Steelers find guys like Antonio Brown in the 6th found and he had a great second year going over 1000 yds and putting Hines Ward on road to retirement.
    Moral of the story don’t give up the farm on a WR inless his name is Rice and he’s from Mississipi Valley State. (sidenote Rice’s son must have his Mom’s genes because he’s not doing much at UCLA)

  2. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    The Rams beat the Saints in StL this year. I hope we do more than just show up.

  3. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    Good for Staley. Our fans don’t seem to like him. I do. He is not a mauler but he is incredibly athletic. I do see him going to RT and Davis going to LT by 2013.

  4. bullitNo Gravatar says:


    I think Alex Boone will eventually
    be the LT with Davis moving to RG and Staley to RT. Alex Boone is a very large man.

  5. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    Large enough to be called Boone’s Farm?

  6. bullitNo Gravatar says:


    Strawberry Hill!!!
    Which happens to be in the middle of Stow Lake and a favorite spot to imbibe for my high school friends. Where’s McLuv when you need him?

    I’d consider moving staley to RG but he makes too much coin.

  7. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    T.O. begs for a job with 9ers via Donte Whitner tweet.

  8. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    The blog responds about like the 9ers are likely to: ZZZZzzzzzzz….

  9. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    No news that they’re working out amy outside WRs or TEs

  10. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    Looks almost certain Joe Hastings will be promoted from the PS.

  11. RTFireflyNo Gravatar says:

    Frozen Tundra! Frozen Tundra! Frozen Tundra!

    I really think the Ain’ts game on the 14/15 and then the Pack will be the measure of a champion.
    As mentioned before, the Ain’ts are mediocre and beatable on the road.
    The Pack on the 21/22 in Arctic weather with Wisconsin caribou carousing outside with the polar bears? All I can say is that promises to be a game for the ages. Stop Rodgers, you stop the Pack. Easier said than done…

  12. unca chuckNo Gravatar says:

    Maybe the weather will slow down their passing game.

  13. RTFireflyNo Gravatar says:

    Just thought – do you realize that the Raiders just need to beat the Chargers at home to make the playoffs? I’m assuming that a superior Ravens team takes care of business again against the Bungles. Serves Undead (well, not anymore) Al right.
    Niners and Raiders both in the playoffs – at the SAME TIME???
    It’s a wonderful league.

  14. AlbertEinstinkleNo Gravatar says:

    Mensa Members Only? There goes the neighborhood. I have my members only jacket. My question – is this blog working on its ready-made excuses for blaming others after the 49ers flop in the playoffs? Are you all ready to deflect the blame rightly focused on Alex to other members of the team? Let me guess? If the refs didn’t call this in the Saints’ game, or Carlos and Dashon just weren’t on the same page…. yada, yada, yada. Let me guess, the first round playoff drubbing the 49ers suffer at the hands of the Saints has nothing to do with Alex and the fact that when his attempts go up, his rating drops into the low 70’s. Rogers is 120 when throwing over 30 times. Alex? 70. No home field advantage will makeup that difference. It doesn’t take a Mensa member to see what’s wrong with the Niners. One and done, geneouses.

  15. bigtimNo Gravatar says:

    sorry Albert but that post is more of a prince Albert than the work of Einstein,witty yes I am at times.
    Smith has played efficiently and the defense has been exceptionally stingy at home so after this win against the rams, and the saints needing to play that extra game to soften up those bumps and bruised bodies, i see the team doing what they do best pounding there opponent into submission
    onto the bay of green where the snow is a plenty, a good defense can shine and players can cancel there tickets to the pro bowl because they will be busy with other bowl stuff.
    are you a Geneouses? I know I am a genius and the IQ test didn’t lie, but in your case I am not so sure

  16. AlbertEinstinkleNo Gravatar says:

    Smart people don’t brag about their intellect because it erodes their credibility. Like me. I’m one frame right of neanderthal on the evolutionary chart, and I’m glad Jed fired me because I love Minnesota. I’m closer to my ancestors buried in the ice. I’m so glad right wing nut jobs like Berger have declared global warming a liberal scam because that means when I’m not coaching the Viking linebackers I can go to the ice caps and visit my cousin Jimmy Raye’s now half exposed body. I know his playbook will be discovered after one more year of melt and right wing denial.

    Regarding Alex…. how would you like to make a little wager the Saints beat the 49ers at Candlestick? Anyone? No? Didn’t think so. No true geneous makes that bet. No Mensa member wants that action.

  17. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    It’s “genius”, Albert.

  18. bullitNo Gravatar says:


    AS blog bets go, usually the guys making them just reappear with a different handle and the same crap rhetoric and message.
    If you had integrity I would consider it but I sense you are a TOTAL WASTE OF TIME.
    Keep telling yourself how smart you are and patting yourself on the back because you’re the only person in the Northern Hemisphere
    that thinks so.

  19. Grumpy GuyNo Gravatar says:

    He IS right, however, that we cannot hope to win track meets against superior passing teams. Alex runs a decent, efficient offense by running it with Gore, and throwing short. If he has to fling the ball around like the Second Coming of the Run and Shoot, you very rapidly reach the point of diminishing returns. Rodgers and Brees, OTOH, live for games when they can rack up forty passes and 400 yards.
    To beat these guys, you have to keep it to a low scoring game. Which is damned near impossible. Best idea I’ve heard so far is the Maury Wills Defense on Chuck’s Blog: turn the field into a swamp against the Saints. Or better yet, get a major storm that day. Unfortunately, the Weather gods have not seen fit to bring that jet stream down into Norcal this year. Could be a bad thing in a few weeks.
    Lambeau? Pray for a blizzard. Three yards and frostbite, we could win. 400 yards in the air, not so much.

  20. barleyfreakNo Gravatar says:

    Not to mention Grump, that Alex doesn’t exactly have a bevy of scary targets either. Compare Colston, Graham, Moore, Meechum, Henderson and Sproles (VERY dangerous catching out of the backfield), to our corps and we come up decidedly, and comparatively, short.
    Our ticket is to keep Brees/Rodgers on the bench or on their back. I can’t see a win any other way.

  21. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Making the playoffs this year was the goal of every Niner fan at the start of this uncertain season. To have hoped for more you would have been ridiculed.
    Now the haters are coming at the Niners with One and Done. Quite possible but the beauty of the situation is the amount of times the haters have changed their tune. They keep moving the goalposts and I take great pleasure at their pathetic efforts.
    The Niner future is bright and things will only get better as they build on this solid foundation.

  22. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    bullit- Nicely said!

  23. TonyNo Gravatar says:

    Yea guys …its been a very satisfying season…do we want more? …absolutly….but like you said Bullit…the future is bright….very bright….any real Niner fan is (or should be) thrilled with this first season under Harbaugh…i know i am!!

  24. TonyNo Gravatar says:

    oh…and kudos to Balke too….he’s done one hell of a job

  25. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    Spitblood, errrr!, AlbertEinstinkle has me pegged on global warming. Not. Global warming is what is caused by what is being spewed by the Niner/Smith haters. Cows aren’t helping either. They both could be of the same genre?

  26. bigtimNo Gravatar says:

    ah young stinkle you bit on that like a bass to the shiny little lure it was a thing of beauty.
    the playoffs are or should be about leverage this year can the team with its potential Bye and home field leverage its self a victory,the defense will be the ones to answer that question they have all the pressure to hold down the potent offense of the Saints,the crucial thing will be to have the offense “manage” there way to grinding the clock into dust and playing keep away, its a formula that needs to be executed to perfection,having that extra week to heal is imperative to the “plan” so far that plan Harbaugh and Baalke were talking about has worked out pretty darn well

  27. Grumpy GuyNo Gravatar says:

    We need to make those teams play our game. Time-consuming drives that keep them off the field. No sudden attacks of ‘Three-and-Out-itis’ such as have afflicted us in many games this year. Continue not turning it over, and capitalize on any mistakes they make.
    Not impossible. But against teams that excel at imposing their offensive will on others, the challenge cannot be ignored either. We will need to play our best games of the season to have a chance against either of these teams. That’s defense, offense, ST and the coaching staff. GB in particular is one-dimensional: but it’s one hell of a dimension.

  28. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Spit with multiple aliases???
    Can’t hide the fact that he’s just a bitter hating troll.
    12-3 and still a whining crybaby.

  29. AlbertEinstinkleNo Gravatar says:

    A.) Everyone is happy the 49ers have made the playoffs.
    B.) The 49ers have no chance against the Saints. If you believe they do, bet with me.

    Advance the argument. Don’t let this blog get stuck on stoopid like Unca’s blog.

    There will come a time when 49er fans are no longer happy with just making the playoffs, and they’ll start wanting Super Bowl wins. They’ll start looking at the team and creating their theories for why it loses to Brees and Rogers each year.

    In the two games this year where the Packers didn’t throw the ball over 30 times, Aaron Roger’s quarterback rating was 142 and 145. In the six games this year that Alex Smith has thrown the ball over 30 times, Smith’s qb rating average of those games is 71! 71! That’s terrible, people. Wake up! That’s atrociousness. And further more, it’s a 70 point difference between Rogers and Smith – a 70 point difference between the NFC’s 1st seed quarterback and the NFC’s 2nd seed quarterback? Yeah…. good luck with that.

    When the Harbaugh honeymoon is over, and fans are no longer just happy we’re a playoff team, Alex Smith will be relinquished to backup duty – and that’s where he’s always belonged.

  30. robNo Gravatar says:

    gosh , albert you killjoy , i can’t even imagine who you might be !

    are you …
    just a bitter hating troll ?

    gosh , this guy acts like NOFEAR , lives up to GRUMPYGUY’s nickname , and sounds like DELMARDENNIS !


  31. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Yeah in in 1981 the Niners had no chance against those mighty Cowboys who had their number.
    I generally don’t bet but if I did it would be with someone that had integrity and honor and those words are not in your vocabulary.
    Nothing like a poser such as you willing to bet against the team he allegedly supports.
    Is that the hating troll in you?

  32. Grumpy GuyNo Gravatar says:

    Bullit, we had every chance against the Cowboys in ’81. After all, we had already handed them their asses in the regular season. The playoffs were only close because we turned it over six times that day.
    Playing the Packers or even the Saints this January: way tougher. We have not played an offense like either of those this year. Our defense is good, but this is uncharted territory here.
    I think we have a meaningful chance, albeit a small one. But EVERYTHING will need to go right. And all facets of the team will have to play the game of their lives.

  33. Grumpy GuyNo Gravatar says:

    My biggest concern, is the offense, specifically our ability to string together first downs and keep drives going. Currently we are tied with Chicago at 26th in the league at 17.6 first downs averaged per game. NO is first, GB is 6th.
    Obviously, if we cannot change that, and keep Brees and Rodgers off the field, we have little chance of winning. Something Harbaugh needs to find a fix for in the next couple of weeks.

  34. AlbertEinstinkleNo Gravatar says:

    Billit –

    How’d we beat those Cowboys in ’81? With an incredibly accurate pass thrown to the back of the endzone to Dwight Clark in crunch time – a ball thrown where only Clark could catch it. Montana on his back foot, scanning the field, throwing an accurate pass and anticipating his receiver. That’s quarterback play. That’s Joe Montana. That’s how you win Super Bowls. Thanks for proving my point.

  35. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    Stinkblood- You don’t seem very happy the 49ers are in the playoffs?

  36. AlbertEinstinkleNo Gravatar says:

    I’m incredibly happy with the season. Harbaugh and his coaching staff are the real deal and they’ve turned the 49ers around quicker than anyone anticipated. We also have to give props to Jed York who claimed he was on a “nationwide search” for a GM, lying to his fans when he really wanted Baalke. But the ends justify the means, and Harbaalke look to be the real deal as well.

    But now, the 49ers need to take that next step. The 49ers need this off season to focus on one area only – their passing attack. We can talk ’til we’re blue in the balls about Mohamed Sanu, Alshon Jeffery or DeShaun Jackson, but the reality is regardless who the receivers are, if the quarterback can’t throw the ball deep, the 49ers will never have a chance in the playoffs until Harbaugh finds a franchise quarterback who can compete with Rogers and Brees, getting that new receiver talent the ball.

    Cam Newton, Ponder and Dalton prove that a rookie quarterback can have success in the regular season in today’s NFL. Dalton proves that with good coaching (Gruden), a rookie can compete for the playoffs. And the NFC West isn’t the AFC North, not by a long shot.

    The 49ers should draft either Alshon Jeffery or Mohamed Sanu in the first round, maybe both, but the biggest decision the 49ers can make this off season is the dumping of Alex Smith and declaring a quarterback competition between Kaep and Tolzien. If they do that, they’ll be able to evaluate both players and signify to the team and fan base the 49ers are aggressively looking for that final piece to the championship puzzle – the quarterback. Again, Newton, Ponder and Dalton all prove Kaep and Tolzien can have success as young quarterbacks. If Kaep and Tolzien don’t cut it, it’s a positive, not a negative, because the 49ers would have then advanced their search and declared their need. Harbaugh owes it to the vetrans on this team to change the quarterback.

    I’m happy with Harbaugh’s progress, but he still has one more major hurdle to jump over, and it’s the biggest hurdle of his coaching career in San Francisco. He needs to find and develop a franchise quarterback. Nobody in their right mind believes Alex Smith is improving. He’s the same quarterback he was last year, just with better coaches around him.

  37. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    I’m sorry to disappoint you but Harbaugh has already stated that Alex Smith is our QB of the future. He did that last week.

  38. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    Actually, to clarify, he was asked if Alex could be our QB of the future and he answered, yes.

  39. AlbertEinstinkleNo Gravatar says:

    Harbaugh also lifted everyone’s wallet in that same press conference.

  40. bullitNo Gravatar says:


    So last Saturday’s incredibly accurate 41 yd pass to Crabtree
    was thrown by who? Dropped it right into the bucket.
    If you’re so happy why are you challenging the entire board to bet you? Some fan you are.
    I call you a JOKE. Happy now?

  41. AlbertEinstinkleNo Gravatar says:

    Bullit –

    Why do you keep calling me Spitty? My name is Albert Einstinkle. Please refer to me that way. I don’t call you Larry.

    If winning isn’t a sometimes thing, neither is accuracy. When Alex Smith is asked to throw the ball over 30 times in a game, his rating drops to 71. You can’t blame that on the receivers because every team has drops. The New York Giants drop more balls than the Vienna Boys Choir. Alex Smith isn’t accurate, and that’s the most important aspect of quarterback play.

  42. bullitNo Gravatar says:


    Would you rather I call you Bloody. How are things in Redding?

  43. bullitNo Gravatar says:


    You were posting here as JimmyBuffet the other day.
    You and V can’t hide under any name. Both think you’re clever but you are spotted the minute you start posting. Your message is always the same whine.
    Dumb and dumber.

  44. AlbertEinstinkleNo Gravatar says:

    The 49ers will improve next year and take a step closer to the Super Bowl IF Jim Harbaugh changes a lot of the offensive skill position players. Vernon Davis is surprisingly un-athletic. He has no hands or instincts for the position. The only true receiver is Crabtree, but he’s only a possession receiver. Delanie Walker has been relegated to a blocker, and that’s the right move. Alex Smith is an NFL backup. The 49ers need a quarterback, two new tight ends, two new receivers, and another backup running back to replace Anthony Dixon. If Harbaugh continues to focus on changing the offensive skill position players, the 49ers will start competing with the Saints and Packers for Super Bowls. My question is…. can Trent Baalke draft offensive skill position players? We know he can find defensive guys, and find diamonds in the rough on that side of the ball. But skill position players on offense? That remains to be seen.

  45. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    Defensive lines win championships. Two of the best D-lines were in last year’s Super Bowl. Alex can win a Super bowl, get him some weapons.
    IMO, the best combo to win a championship is to start with a good play caller, and then add a great QB along with a good D-line or a great D-line along with a good QB.

  46. AlbertEinstinkleNo Gravatar says:

    Alex Smith will never wins a Super Bowl. Never. The 49ers haven’t scored a first half touchdown in 7 weeks. They are dead last in redzone efficiency. Smith is the sack leader behind a good to becoming great offensive line. These ineptitudes are with Gore, Hunter, Miller, Crabtree and Kyle Williams….. and an never ending out pattern available to Ted Ginn. But the biggest positive factor for Smith is Jim Harbaugh. I mean, there are teams with much worse coaches and skill position players with better redzone numbers, scoring more first half touchdowns than the 49ers. Why? It’s probably because they have better quarterbacks. Actually, I’m certain of it. I’d be willing to bet someone on this blog Alex Smith isn’t the 49ers’ starting quarterback this time next year.

  47. AlbertEinstinkleNo Gravatar says:

    win* and Alex Smith has taken more sacks….*

  48. unca chuckNo Gravatar says:

    Hows many times did Bradshaw throw more than 30 times? Since you called 3-13, Dinklestein, I guess yer talk don’t hold much water. But it never did anyway, skippy.
    How much history have you revised already to come up with that pearl of wisdom?
    It comes down to the run game and the red zone. Control the clock and score. At the Stick, NO is eminently beatable. They lost to the furking Rams on the road for God’s sake. The Niners almost beat NO last year with a vastly shittier game plan and a weaker defense. NO would be be coming off a tough WC game vs Atl (that they might lose anyway). The Niners would be rested and ready. It ain’t that far-fetched for the Niners to win. And people would still bitch about Smith.
    Geeeneus, furk-o…

  49. bullitNo Gravatar says:


    Every one of your rants has the common theme that the Niners will not win a shootout with Saints and Packers.
    Their strategy will be a gameplan similar to what they did against the Steelers.
    Funny how you cherry pick stats but Smith threw the ball 31 times and his QB rating was 86.4 in this game.
    You’ll come back with Ben was hurt blah blah blah. If he was hurt he shouldn’t have been on the field
    Anyway the Niners are a better team on home and the Saints have only had to play 5 games total outdoord this year which means they will have played 11 games
    indoors this season under a dome
    without any wind or elements affecting a passing game.
    How can you call yourself a true fan and constantly badmouth the Niners.
    So I heard you predicted 3-13 before the season and you’re still chirping here?

  50. AlbertEinstinkleNo Gravatar says:

    Unca – That’s a good one. Bradshaw. Do you know how utterly stupid that analogy is? Bradshaw. I’m stumped. I mean, you didn’t even go the Trent Dilfer, Brad Johnson argument that is more outdated than 8-tracks. You skipped 8-track and went right to vinyl on us. The Dilfer and Brad Johnson models of how to win in today’s NFL is deader than Elvis, but the Bradshaw argument is …….. well…… masterful, because I’m stumped. You can’t compare those two eras you nincompoop.

    Tell you what. I’ll bet you a bottle the Saints beat the 49ers. I’ll even give you 9.5 points. I think the odds makers will put the spread at 2.5 to start and it will be at 6.5 by game time. What say you, Unca?

  51. AlbertEinstinkleNo Gravatar says:

    I predicted 8-7 and thought the Niners would be playing for the division crown this Sunday. I was one of the few people to declare that Harbaugh would have a lot more success than people believed, regardless of the short off season.
    I laid out my reasoning in triplicate. The next day Skeebers predicted 13-3. Everyone else was saying 6-10, with great strides being made, but no post season. I was saying we’d compete for the division.

  52. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    New post is up.

  53. allforfunnplayNo Gravatar says:

    actually, I think technically 2007 was McCloughan’s draft. If I recall that was the year the GM role was pulled from Nolan and given to McC. I have no doubt that Nolan’s finger prints are all over the Niner’s 07 draft but technically McCloughan was the “trigger man”.

  54. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    2008 was the year McCloughan became the “trigger” guy. It was the condition for not canning Nolan.

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2021 Schedules
09/12: W 49ers 41, Lions 33
09/19: W 49ers 17, Eagles 11
09/26: L Packers 30, 49ers 28
10/03: L Seahawks 28, 49ers 21
10/10: L Cardinals 17, 49ers 10
10/17 BYE
10/24: L Colts 30, 49ers 18
10/31: W 49ers 33, Bears 22
11/07: L Cardinals 31, 49ers 17
11/15: W 49ers 31, Rams 10L
11/21: W 49ers 30, Jaguars 10
11/28: W 49ers 34, Vikings 26
12/05: L Seahawks 30, 49ers 23 12/12 · 10:00 AMCIN
12/19 · 1:05 PM v ATL
12/23 · 5:20 PM v TEN
01/02 · 1:05 PM v HOU
01/09 · 1:25 PM @ LAR

2021 Draft Class
1. QB Trey Lance, North Dakota State
2. OG Aaron Banks, Notre Dame
3. RB Trey Sermon, Ohio State
3. CB Ambry Thomas, Michigan
5. OG/OT Jaylon Moore, Western Michigan
5. CB Deommodore Lenoir, Oregon
5. S Talanoa Hufanga, USC
6. RB Elijah Mitchell, Louisiana
2021 Prognostications
Bullit: 12-5
Grumpy: 13-4
NJ49er: 11-6
Skeebers: 14-3
Winder: 12-5
Rob: 17-0
Spitblood: 0-17