Good News, Bad News

I suppose it’s time to crack open the door to the 2018 offseason. When we last viewed the 49ers, they were in the process of beating three playoff teams to close out the year on a five game winning streak.

All three of those teams had very little to play for, so the wins have an iffy nature to them. The first two wins of the streak were squeakers over the awful Bears and Texans.

Nevertheless, however you want to view the validity of these five games, it’s most certainly clear the 1-10 team that preceded them would not have won all five, or maybe even one or two.

Can one player drag an otherwise mediocre team to a Super Bowl? In this watered-down era of the NFL, maybe so.

At any rate, for the next seven months, Jimmy Garoppolo fever will be inflaming the hearts of 49er fans all over the country. And perhaps making the Seahawks, Rams, and Cardinals extremely sweaty.

If the Cardinals manage to land a decent QB this offseason, the NFC West will be a roaringly competitive division next year.

One thing’s for sure: Over the next seven months, Garoppolo will become the most hyped player in franchise history.

That’s the good news, of sorts. The bad news is the team may have to outscore everyone to have a winning season. The defense took a major hit over the weekend with the second arrest in a month for budding star linebacker Reuben Foster. The first arrest was for possession of weed. The latest, which occurred Sunday, was for domestic violence and possession of an assault rifle. He also failed a drug test at last year’s combine. He’s likely looking at a six to eight week suspension at the least for the 2018 season and an offender in both substance abuse and personal conduct.

Last year, CB Tramaine Brock got a DV arrest and was released within 24 hours. We’ll see today whether the 49ers reveal a double standard for star players versus expendable players like Brock. GM John Lynch could accuse himself of overreacting with Brock, since Brock’s charges were ultimately dismissed and he was also cleared by the NFL, thus enabling Lynch to take a wait and see approach with Foster.

On the silver lining side of things, at least Foster screwed up now, when the Niners have time to find a replacement in the draft or free agency, and not next summer, when they’d be SOL.

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40 comments on “Good News, Bad News
  1. robNo Gravatar says:

    Hey Novarro Bowman is a free agent !

  2. WinderNo Gravatar says:

    I am in the most people deserve a second chance camp but this dude is cutting it close. Not sure he will be able to get over the stupid part. Either way it goes we will be without him for at least half the season. I imagine we will have to find out what he was doing with the assault rifle and the DV scenario. If I was Lynch I would be thoroughly pissed.

  3. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Irony is that Foster’s predecessor and supposed mentor at Bama LB Rolando McClain seems to have gone down the same glide path with MJ, weapons charges and assault and then became a repeat offender where he has been suspended indefinitely.

    Let the facts comes out and put Foster on a short leash where even a traffic violation will get him cut.

    Foster has to decide whether he wants to be a pro football player or
    a used car salesman.

  4. WinderNo Gravatar says:

    I am sure there is a career of being a thug in case football is out.

  5. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    I’ve heard the rifle was registered in ‘Bama not CA.
    Appears to be legit from an ownership perspective at least.
    Likely a fine of some kind for being unregistered?
    No clue how the CA gun laws are applied.
    Either way, in the Court of stupidity alone, he’s demonstrated that he isn’t taking his responsibilities seriously enough to risk the already bad publicity he’s creating.

    First offer? Take it Lynch. Move on.

  6. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    More options on the FA Mkt who can use his money in a more responsible way.
    Or, Draft his replacement in April.
    He had issues going back to the Combines a year ago.
    Think I’ve seen enough.

  7. robNo Gravatar says:

    OMG there’s a draft prospect with my last name ! Nick De Luca ! Never heard of an NFL player named De Luca !

  8. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    On my List already Rob – He’ll be at the Combine too.
    Not impressed with the 40 I’m seeing but, it’s basically a garbage number right now anyway. Indy will produce results of the 40s for all the guys that participate.
    He’s got some impressive stats nonetheless.
    If he runs well enough, he could be a nice option in the mid/late RDs?

    Nick DeLuca, ILB, North Dakota St. (#49) Height: 6-3 Weight: 245 40-Time: 4.85 (LB10)
    59 329 26.0 9.5 10 7

  9. WinderNo Gravatar says:

    It would be more impressive if they ran the 40 in full gear because that is what matters.

  10. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Hence the debate that rages on forever Winder.
    Clock speed in a straight line vs Football speed.

    Jerry Rice wasn’t a clock guy either.
    Comes down to what you do at the position.

    Play like your A$$ is on fire 😀

  11. robNo Gravatar says:

    NJ I didnt know about De luca until I saw your post !

  12. NJ49ERNo Gravatar says:

    He’s on my radar Rob !!!

  13. RobNo Gravatar says:

    We just signed Kilgore. Good move IMO

  14. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Thought Kilgore was a goner TBH.
    Looks like the OG positions will be the focus.
    Perhaps a Pick to replace Staley/Brown could be in their plans?

    See how it plays out in FA moves first. That will likely set the stage for the Draft plans.

  15. Grumpy GuyNo Gravatar says:

    Replacing three guys at once would mean at least a full year of utter confusion in unit cohesion. Even two is going to be tough, but needs to be done. This is not the end of the O-line transition this year. We’re looking at more changes in one to three years as Staley moves on and we deal with Kilgore as he ages. And decide where Brown should play.

  16. NoFearNo Gravatar says:

    SSDD, I notice Lynch and Shanahan have found it necessary to suspend their “solemn pledge” to make character a priority as they gather evidence to concoct a defense of their first round stinker.

    That’s okay boys, integrity doesn’t come easy. Most folks readily sacrifice their so-called principles for self-interest and other conveniences.

  17. NJ49ERNo Gravatar says:

    Feel similarly No Fear.
    Unless conduct detrimental requires legal charges or, the NFLPA has leverage in any way, I can’t explain…?
    Didn’t take long for a decision on TBrock did it?

  18. WinderNo Gravatar says:

    I think Lynch and KS know more about what’s going on than anyone here. Pretty sure they are gonna do the right thing.

  19. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    Maybe it will depend whether he dragged the girl out of his place by the ankles, by the hair, by one arm or one leg, or tastefully by the armpits.

  20. NoFearNo Gravatar says:

    I think it depends on whether “they” can promise to make her life enough worse or enough better to convince her to recant. You know, the usual meaning behind, “we’re taking it slow to get all the facts before making a decision.”

    Regardless, Lynch’s claim of a high character kid seems to be proof of Lynch’s naivete or tendency to bullshit.

    Protest that, ignorant shithead.

  21. WinderNo Gravatar says:

    NoFear- my understanding of Lynch’s character is that he is of a high standard. I think it’s hard to weed through the bullshit right when you first talk to someone. It usually takes a little while to see it. I think if anything they are trying to see if the kid still has a chance to change things around. And, I imagine they want to see if charges are filed. Kinda like the Dallas RB last year.

    Protest what? and who’s the ignorant shithead?

  22. WinderNo Gravatar says:

    Since we paid such a high price for Foster I think I would let him sit out his suspension and trade him to the Raiders if they believe he is beyond help. At least that way we get something back for him.

  23. NoFearNo Gravatar says:

    Winder, I’m talking about Lynch talking about Foster’s character.

    If this was Foster’s first stumble it might make a difference but since he is one of those America-hating protesters AND this is his second run-in with the law since AFTER the draft and his supposed promise to Lynch to stay out of trouble he’s EXACTLY one of those players Lynch/Shanahan/York declared they would not tolerate any longer.

    They (Lynch/Shanahan/York are hypocrites.

    Foster is the ignorant protesting shithead.

    And I don’t think trading a tainted player is what a character team would do, so they probably will try to trade him, not if but when, they decide to waive the bum.

    Do you seriously think a guy with his track record is going to change into a model citizen when millions of dollars don’t make a dent?

  24. robNo Gravatar says:

    Free agent wish list
    #1 CB Rashaan Melvin
    #2 G Justin Pugh
    #3 WR Donte Moncrief

    ” Pugh has experience at tackle adding to his value. Otherwise, he’s a notch below Norwell after having a down season in 2017. He dealt with injuries after being among the league’s better guards the previous two years, when he was one of the top-20 run blockers. He has the athleticism the 49ers will covet for the outside zone scheme requiring guards to kick out and block in space.
    He would be significantly cheaper than Norwell but still offer long-term upside. He’ll be 28 in August.

    Melvin checks all the boxes. He’s 6-foot-2, has long arms and should have a few years left in his physical prime after a promising contract year with Indianapolis. The former undrafted rookie, who bounced from Baltimore to New England, looks like another late bloomer that could excel given the opportunity.
    Per Pro Football Focus, Melvin’s passer rating when targeted (60.3) ranked 12th among 126 corners with at least 150 coverage snaps. He allowed just a 52.7 percent completion rate.

    ” Moncrief is an intriguing combination of size (6-2, 221) and speed (4.4 at his combine in 2014). But the production hasn’t been there with the Colts, which could speak to the instability along the offensive line and Andrew Luck’s rash of injuries. Moncrief averaged 38 catches for 469 yards and 4.5 touchdowns over his four seasons in Indy.

    The Ole Miss alum might be more of a deep threat than Robinson, but his athleticism plays all over the field, including jump balls in the scoring area. He’s not as trustworthy as Pierre Garçon, but he offers an intriguing skillset that hybrids between Garçon and Marquise Goodwin. His talent should lend itself well to Kyle Shanahan’s offense.”

  25. robNo Gravatar says:

    Happy we signed Kiffin as ‘pass rush specialist’

    Kiffin took FAU’s defense from 124th to 37th and comes with a good background.
    He’s related to former Buccaneers great Monte Kiffin who coached the Bucs all time great Superbowl
    Championship defense.

  26. robNo Gravatar says:

    For anyone that missed it

    BEST ASSASSIN candidate
    The CIA needed a new assassin. They opened a position for that kind of an agent. After all the background checks, interviews and testing were completed, they had narrowed the field down to three possible agents. For the final test, the CIA agents took one of the men to a large metal door and handed him a gun. “We must know that you will follow your instructions no matter what the conditions.”

    CIA agent talked: “Inside the room you will find your wife sitting on a chair… We need you to kill her.” Candidate man said, “You can’t be serious. I could never shoot my wife.”

    CIA agent replied, “Then you’re not the right man for this job. Take your wife and go home.”

    The second candidate man was given the same instructions. He took the gun and went into the room. All was quiet for about five minutes. The man came out with tears in his eyes, “I tried, but I can’t kill my wife.”

    The agent said, “You don’t know what you are missing. Take your wife and go home.”

    Finally, the last candidate man was given the same instructions, to kill his wife. He took the gun and went into the room. Shots were heard, one after another. They heard screaming, crashing, banging on the walls. After a few minutes, all was quiet. The door opened slowly and there stood the man, wiping the sweat from his forehead. “Some imbecile loaded the gun with blanks” he said. “I had to strangle that bitch to death.”

  27. WinderNo Gravatar says:

    Nofear- I doubt that Foster can control his anger or idiocy. But, do to his age and that he’s only been in the league for a short time that maybe he will figure out what is important. I don’t think he is in the same boat as a Ray McDonald or a Ray Rice. At least not yet. I didn’t realize that Foster was one of the protesters. Like I said I don’t like it one bit but as of now the league lets it happen.

  28. WinderNo Gravatar says:

    Rob- Moncrief is a very good WR but Robinson is a spectacular WR. I imagine if we got Robinson with Garcon and Goodwin coming back that we would have one of the best WR core in the league. All we would need for our offense would be another couple of linemen and a true #1 RB. I think that would put us over the top on offense and pretty much unstoppable.

  29. robNo Gravatar says:

    Winder , I have a feeling that if Jax can’t sign Robinson they’ll at least tag him. I’m doubting they’ll let him get away.

  30. WinderNo Gravatar says:

    Rob- probably right. Robinson is coming off an ACL and not sure how is gonna be. It might be a risky move to tag him but it would make sense for them to do it. And it’s still gonna be Bortals back there. Barkley and Robinson are my wish list players this year.

  31. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Good analysis of available free agents and Niner needs
    Norville at Guard or Robinson at WR would be at the top of my wish list.

  32. Grumpy GuyNo Gravatar says:

    Norville will be expensive for a guard, but he’d solve one of our problems for several years.

    I still think we *have* to have more pass rush. Whether that’s Ansah or another free agent or the draft, it has to be addressed.

    WR is hard to evaluate. Our receivers looked like shit for 11 games. Then Goodwin looked pretty good with Garoppolo at QB. It will come down to who is available and the price tag.

  33. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Kilgore’s extension was modest and here are contract facts
    “The initial details on the contract came courtesy of Ian Rapoport. He reported the three-year deal as being worth $12 million total, with $7 million in guaranteed money. That APY ranks 15th based on contracts as of the end of the 2017 season.
    We don’t yet know the make-up of the guaranteed money, but we do know his base salaries, courtesy of the NFLPA. He is due to make $2,525,000 in 2018, $2,225,000 in 2019, and $3,075,000 in 2020.”

    Norville will cost at least double that but you sign him now and he’s in place if your plan is to make a serious run for the Lombardi in 2019 and 2020.

  34. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    The Chef’s best DB Marcus Peters is said to be on the trade block.

    Andy Reid is tired of Peter’s behavior despite his talent.

    Peters is a ball hawk and a shutdown corner but also does stupid things
    cAused by emotion and losing his cool.

    Would he fit in or be a cancer? I would give up a 3rd round pick and a future 5th rounder for him if I felt he could grow up and his emotions could be kept in check.

  35. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Would Niner FO make a run at Jordy Nelson if the Pack cut him?

    Unlikely to happen but Packers need some cap relief.

  36. Grumpy GuyNo Gravatar says:

    We’ve had too many problem children in recent years for me to want anything to do with adding more. I would pass on Peters.

    Nelson was a good receiver but he is 32 and his numbers really dropped last year. I would not go there.

  37. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    New post is up.

2021 Schedules
09/12: W 49ers 41, Lions 33
09/19: W 49ers 17, Eagles 11
09/26: L Packers 30, 49ers 28
10/03: L Seahawks 28, 49ers 21
10/10: L Cardinals 17, 49ers 10
10/17 BYE
10/24: L Colts 30, 49ers 18
10/31: W 49ers 33, Bears 22
11/07: L Cardinals 31, 49ers 17
11/15: W 49ers 31, Rams 10L
11/21: W 49ers 30, Jaguars 10
11/28: W 49ers 34, Vikings 26
12/05: L Seahawks 30, 49ers 23 12/12 · 10:00 AMCIN
12/19 · 1:05 PM v ATL
12/23 · 5:20 PM v TEN
01/02 · 1:05 PM v HOU
01/09 · 1:25 PM @ LAR

2021 Draft Class
1. QB Trey Lance, North Dakota State
2. OG Aaron Banks, Notre Dame
3. RB Trey Sermon, Ohio State
3. CB Ambry Thomas, Michigan
5. OG/OT Jaylon Moore, Western Michigan
5. CB Deommodore Lenoir, Oregon
5. S Talanoa Hufanga, USC
6. RB Elijah Mitchell, Louisiana
2021 Prognostications
Bullit: 12-5
Grumpy: 13-4
NJ49er: 11-6
Skeebers: 14-3
Winder: 12-5
Rob: 17-0
Spitblood: 0-17