Dry Run

The 49er rookies got their first taste of life in the NFL last week, going through the rookie mini-camp. Most of them swaggered into the league full of themselves and the wonderfulness of their very presence on the planet. In five years, most of them will be out of the league, shocked by their uselessness, and trying to forge a living while competing with nerds who are smarter and much better equipped to hike the long trail of life.

Gruesome. Ha ha ha ha. The rise and fall of muscle bound boys.

A few, however, will have things called NFL “careers.” Perhaps the Niners have managed to grab some of these gents. It’s been a generally failed endeavor the past few years.

So failed, in fact, that writers and pundits around the country have installed the Niners as one of the favorites to be the worst team in the league next year. That seems harsh. It’s true they’ve lost their second best offensive lineman, their top wide receiver, and their two best run stopping defensive linemen, but these fellows have all been replaced with, uh, some guys. Hey, last year the Niners had only four fellows trying to win the CB spot opposite Tramaine Brock, but this year they’ll have seven contenders!

The best thing going for the Niners right now is Stephen Curry and the Warriors. Nobody in the Bay Area is paying any attention to anything else. If the Warriors ring up another NBA title in the next few weeks, it’ll be August before anyone resumes noticing the 49ers are a franchise that’s all in the past, with nothing but sand and cactus stretching out across the future.

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45 comments on “Dry Run
  1. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    Trent Baalke gem: “Last year, 49ers rookie Mike Davis became the sixth RB since 1970 to average less than 2.0 yards a carry with at least 35 carries in a season.”

  2. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    So sad is the niners fans reality. FO disconnected from competitive reality. Other than Cleveland, teams made efforts to improve in FA and draft.

    CLE had an exodus of talent. FA not much help and a bad draft strategy.

    It sucks.

  3. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    Could the Raiders be leaving. Entire Bay Area stuck with the niners. Maybe BUFF will do a quick move.

  4. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    That would bring Greg Roman back to the Bay Area!

  5. Grumpy GuyNo Gravatar says:

    Ricardo Lockette, briefly a Niner, officially retired. Almost died last year on the field.


  6. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Joe talks about Kap

    “Pro Football Hall of Famer and four-time Super Bowl winning quarterback Joe Montana was asked on Sports Illustrated Now about the quarterback situation in San Francisco, specifically as it pertains to Kaepernick.

    “Well, (the quarterback) is usually the leader of the team in most cases. And people look to (Kaepernick) at this point, and he’s a quiet person. You know, he doesn’t share a lot, he doesn’t talk to a lot of the guys,” Montana told SI.com. “And that’s difficult for an offense to operate because the communication between the quarterback and the receiver is one of the most important things.
    “Even with your offensive line, when there’s problems, you have to be able to talk to those guys and figure it out while you’re out on the field,” he added. “And when you have a guy who doesn’t really want to be there, you don’t know whether to put yourself behind him or not. And you want to believe in him, but if he doesn’t want to be there then — I’m sure they did everything they could to try and get him to some place he’d be happy because it would be best for both teams.”

  7. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    Is Manny Lawson still playing? Is he on the Bills? Thought I read it somewhere.

  8. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    Huge news: “49ers waived undrafted Stanford LB Kevin Anderson, replaced him in roster with Memphis LB Wynton McManis.”

  9. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    Manny is 31 and an OLB for the Bills.

  10. Grumpy GuyNo Gravatar says:

    Football Outsiders predicts the 49ers will go 4-12 this year.

    I’m sticking with 3-13.

  11. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    If the Niners do suck this coming season and have a top pick would they consider local guy and potential Heisman winner, Christian McCaffery?.
    Does what make him great in college translate to the NFL?

  12. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    “If the Niners do suck this coming season …”


  13. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    Dallas, Tampa Bay, New Orleans, and Chicago. Face NE well past the Brady suspension and trying to recover from the first 4 games. Probably Romo is healthy early in the season with Elliot duplicating Demarco Murray’s success with that oline. CHI had a very good offseason.

    Even with a better roster, playcalling, and BG starting over the full year that schedule should net a top 5 pick. Let us see what we have with BG and Driskell. What 2017 picks will AD and Kap bring us.

  14. bullitNo Gravatar says:


    “If” is why we watch the game and it keeps you going. Adding some culture to this blog and a lot of what is said does apply to what happens here.

    IF – Rudyard Kipling

    If you can keep your head when all about you
    Are losing theirs and blaming it on you;
    If you can trust yourself when all men doubt you,
    But make allowance for their doubting too;
    If you can wait and not be tired by waiting,
    Or being lied about, don’t deal in lies,
    Or being hated, don’t give way to hating,
    And yet don’t look too good, nor talk too wise:

    If you can dream — and not make dreams your master;
    If you can think — and not make thoughts your aim;
    If you can meet with Triumph and Disaster
    And treat those two imposters just the same;
    If you can bear to hear the truth you’ve spoken
    Twisted by knaves to make a trap for fools,
    Or watch the things you gave your life to, broken,
    And stoop and build ’em up with worn-out tools;

    If you can make one heap of all your winnings
    And risk it on one turn of pitch-and-toss,
    And lose, and start again at your beginnings
    And never breathe a word about your loss;
    If you can force your heart and nerve and sinew
    To serve your turn long after they are gone,
    And so hold on when there is nothing in you
    Except the Will which says to them: “Hold on!”

    If you can talk with crowds and keep your virtue,
    Or walk with kings — nor lose the common touch,
    If neither foes nor loving friends can hurt you,
    If all men count with you, but none too much;
    If you can fill the unforgiving minute
    With sixty seconds’ worth of distance run —
    Yours is the Earth and everything that’s in it,
    And — which is more — you’ll be a Man, my son!

  15. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Kawakami has a podcast talking about Jed York and the management of the Niners and TK’s take on why the Niners have fallen.
    It is Episode 81 titled Harrison Barnes and starts at the 27:00 min mark. It paints York as naïve and someone who is a billionaire but doesn’t act like one. I believe Kawakami makes an honest assessment and it’s worth listening to. Look for ht eposcast Harrison Barnes and go to 27:00 min mark


  16. Sir Spitblood from GeneoushireNo Gravatar says:

    Kawakami writing that York is an idiot isn’t exactly news. And I just read over on Chuck’s blog that Chuck thinks the 49ers could go 9-7 in 2016. Chuck must have gotten a hold of some really good reffer. If you combine the 2016 and 2017 win totals, they still might not eclipse 9 collective wins.

    The first issue to resolve is the Colin Kaepernick issue. Regarding Kaep, the 49er organization has more egg on their face. York is beginning to look like a gay porn star (not that there’s anything wrong with that). The 49ers went out and exercised Kaep’s guarantee, thinking they’d get something for their investment by means of a trade with the Broncos. But the 49ers didn’t assess the situation correctly. If Baalke and York had a clue, they would have told both Kaep and the Broncos they would only trade Kaep before his monies became guaranteed. They would have negotiated a lesser draft choice, and agreed to some of Kaep’s 2016 salary. Instead, they picked up Kaep 12 million dollar option (or whatever it was), and then their trading partner backed out. Baalke was watching the Deer Hunter and thought Russian Roulette would be fun to try, blowing his brains out, gambling that Elway needed Kaep more than Elway really did.

    Kaep doesn’t want to play for York. That was evident last year. Morons on these blogs think Gabbert beat-out Kaep. The reality is Kaep doesn’t want to play for York and he’s “mailing it in” until he’s compensated for his great play in 2012 and 2013. In 2016, Chip Kelly will try to get Kaep to play for him, with minimal success, and eventually Gabbert will take over -but Kaep’s head and heart are else where. He’s already publically stated he’d like to play for the Jets. He’ll collect his 12 million and next year be cut. That alone will be enough of a distraction this year to keep the 49ers around 3-13.

    But what about Baalke and Chip Kelly? Jed York is stupid enough to think that Chip Kelly is an NFL caliber head coach. So now York has given Baalke (who’s established himself as a bad talent evaluator) the authority to sculpt this team in the image of a college football coach’s vision. The trio is making moves around what the casual fan can see is a failed football philosophy that only Mike Martz could love. It’s so obviously bad it’s comical until you stop to figure that the collective failure of these draft choices will only work to set the team back another two or three years after Chip is gone (which by itself will take two or three years to happen).

    I once wrote that after Harbaugh leaves the 49ers will be cellar dwellers for a decade. That’s obvious to me now, and we’re only year two into Harbaugh’s departure. But I might be wrong in a different kinda way. It might not be ten years of suck. 49er fans might be looking at two decades of dwelling in cellars, looking up a banners behind airplanes disparaging York. The Red Sox had the curse of the Bambino for decades- maybe even a century. Now the 49ers will experience the curse of Jim Harbaugh. Go Raiders! Go Redskins!

  17. Phil fanNo Gravatar says:

    Good old Kipling, love the guy.

    Guess I’m a raving optimist compared to Grumpy with my 4-12 call. If team goes 6-10 will Teflon Trent get an extension? Prolly, yikes. Should the team go 10-6 as Philly did twice, we’re screwed as York’s Balkey fetish will seem to be validated.

    Niners likely to have some initial success despite the brutal schedule and then fade as DCs figure how to stop our young O. Ala Philly. But this team figures to be better for Chips scheme than PHI…just NFL DCs in our Div are going to feast.


  18. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Phil I’m with you.
    Until I can see some sort of action in the Preseason, I have no clue what to expect.
    I’m setting the bar at 5 at this point.
    Tough competition on the schedule plus, a new System all around.
    One minor reason for optimism perhaps?
    Many young OLinemen to compete right from the start.
    Unlike last year where AD spoiled the balance with his late retirement.

    I’m mildly surprised Baalke didn’t take a swing at OC too.
    Opting instead for the OT/OG guys.
    Not to say MMartin and Kilgore aren’t worthy but, MMartin had better have added some conditioning to his repertoire this off season.
    He was noticeably weak in the strength dept last year.

  19. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Marcus Martin has not lived up to his draft status.
    He has a lot to prove this coming season. He is starting to look like Jonathan Martin.
    Let’s hope he turns it around and shows marked improvement. Otherwise add him to the list of high draft choice busts.

  20. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Good news is Baalke increased competition there at least.
    One ingredient Chip brings to the table is tempo and, conditioning is a given on Offense.
    MMartin would be well served to do what Boone did between year 1 and 2.
    Spend his off-season getting in shape.
    See what we have soon enough.

  21. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Speaking of JMart – He’s admitted to having had some sort of social disorder apparently –


  22. Phil fanNo Gravatar says:

    I too expect our OL to be better. How could it be worse? Our QBs figure to be better than the Eagles under Kelly with the running abilities of all three. QB accuracy and intelligence will be yuuge factors as always. Can Kap succeed? Kilgore hopefully will help stabilize the OL plus Garnett and Beadles (?) to replace Boone and Martin/Thomas. Really glad they got the mauler Joshua Garnett to replace Iupati at last.

    Steve Berman the BASG has a good article about the new HC:

    “Here’s what we think we know: the 49ers’ offensive line should be better, the quarterback is a complete wild card (Kelly said today on KNBR that he has “no idea” who the starter will be this season), the running backs and tight ends should be about the same, the wide receivers should be worse (unless they get a surprise upgrade in the form of someone like DeAndre Smelter or Eric Rogers), and the defense will be on the field a little more often.”


  23. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    I guess the Stanford education allowed him to turn it into a bullying escapade at Incognito’s expense however.
    Somehow Harbaugh didn’t seem to have a problem with him, which in itself, is a headscratcher.
    JMart never seemed ‘nasty’ enough to me as an OLineman.

  24. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Phil I’ll be curious to see how BMiller handles a larger pass catching role as TE.
    He could find some success there.
    He blocks well enough having done it as the FB.
    The WR Group is going to have plenty of competition as well.
    Hoping that equates into some production when it matters.
    Chip will, (should) rely on the ground game until they can find some rhythm in that regard.
    No expectations for early passing game fireworks from me.

  25. Phil fanNo Gravatar says:

    Miller is a pretty good pass catcher in the few times Tomsula used him in that role. Harbaugh/Roman found some success with Miller catching out of the backfield. Transition to TE should be doable for this versatile football guy. Glad Chip is working to find a role for him. Do you think we may have an actual HC after a year off from pro-ball?

    Totally agree we need to lean heavily on the run game until the QB + WR/TE corps get established.

  26. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Somewhat cautiously optimistic with Chip, Phil.
    We’re likely to see College tactics with sideline display cards, and the sort, which, to me, is somewhat non-Professional.
    But, if it’s allowed and, it’s beneficial to getting things communicated quickly and easily, why not?

    Simplification can’t hurt if it works to get everyone’s assignments communicated right?
    My concerns are whether these antics can beat the better Coaches in this game when it matters.
    Guess we’ll see as it progresses?
    Always wondered if this was designed to circumvent the audio too?
    Which College doesn’t use to my knowledge.
    Somewhat of an edge if you think about it.
    Audio stops, cards are visible.
    Bending the rules? Perhaps?

  27. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Curious to know whether the cards themselves have to be taken from view when the audio restrictions are enforced.
    Something else to watch for, and learn about, the Chip System I guess?

  28. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    “49ers announce Jarryd Hayne has retired from the NFL.”

  29. winderNo Gravatar says:

    Well, there goes a project player. What a waste of time and space. But, his price was right.

  30. NJ49ERNo Gravatar says:

    Fiji Rugby Sevens for Mr Hayne.
    Shot at the Top Olympics
    Hey, the longshot made some headlines in the NFL.
    Kid came to play.
    Best of luck to Jarryd.

  31. NJ49ERNo Gravatar says:

    Rio Olympics, where the eff did top come from?

  32. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    We added Buckner and Blair to dline. Wonder who makes the final 53.

    With a young roster mostly on rookie contracts,most decisions are strictly on merit. Better rookies beat out the older rookies.

  33. Phil fanNo Gravatar says:

    Mayo Maiocco provides an alternate theory as to why the Balkey is stockpiling corners and it’s not my “wood theory” = Teflon Trent sez ‘corners are in short supply’ and he doesn’t want to be caught without =

    “Baalke foreshadowed his movement toward stockpiling cornerbacks in an interview before the 2015 offseason.

    “I think you’re seeing that trend league-wide,” Baalke said. “There’s a premium put on those players. It’s going to be extremely important moving forward to create as much depth and competition at that position as you can.”


  34. Phil fanNo Gravatar says:

    Also in the same link above a discussion by Mayo about the Niner Cap space. Basically we have so much cap space because we are not resigning/extending our draftees due to their not measuring up as worthy of an additional contract. Poor drafting results in a trend to greater cap space. This is not good.

  35. Phil fanNo Gravatar says:

    Mayo is a known shill for the Niner FO so his explanation of why we have so much cap space begs the questions: “Was Crabtree not worth extending?” “How about Goldson?” “Do the Niners develop players adequately and create an atmosphere where they want to resign here?”

    Maiocco gives a plausible half answer that is only so deep as to why players leave this team. Yes some stink. Others flee.

  36. winderNo Gravatar says:

    Baalky always looks good on paper, and then reality hits.

  37. winderNo Gravatar says:

    This year Baalky did play it safe with the 7th pick. I think he was the best player on the board. Not so sure about Garnett.But if what most people are saying comes true then maybe the price wasn’t too high. I think he totally blew it on the 3rd and 4th picks. After that I thought he did pretty good but we shall see. By not picking up pricey FA’s Baalky has given himself quite a bit of extra rope for this upcoming year. And if four of this years draftee’s stick he will surely be around for next years draft. Since we are in a total rebuild with no QB to speak of.

  38. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Add to that byline, the team pockets the extra dough and, you can add the York factor to the mix too.
    I still believe there’s an air of cheapy Micro-Management involved here.
    Draft Picks have been, and will always be, a roll of the dice.
    Development is a safe strategy if the pieces you’re rolling the dice on fit what’s being constructed.
    OLine revamp likely took a front row with Chip.
    His style of play differs dramatically with what Harbaugh worked with.
    Which, to some extent, made AD less important.
    Garnett is a Chip Pick, as I’ve read that he recruited him, only to lose out to Stanford.
    Also read of strong interest in Garnett from Seattle, who did go OLine themselves a few Picks later.
    So, with that as a possible motive, Garnett could have been in Seattle if not for the Trade-back.
    Garnett doesn’t quite fit the profile associated with the Chip Playbook, simply from a mobility perspective.
    Have seen some suggestions that he might be platooned with Tiller until such time that his conditioning and familiarity round into shape.
    TBD as things progress….

  39. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Titans waive Mettenberger so do Niners bring him in for a look claiming him off waivers?


  40. winderNo Gravatar says:

    good move.

  41. winderNo Gravatar says:

    That’s why we won’t do it.

  42. Phil fanNo Gravatar says:

    “That’s why we won’t do it”. Yep no sense running the risk of blowing the plan to ‘draft good, develop players, build from within and win later’.

    Cap space benefits ownership, winning now not so much.

  43. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    Titans drafted 5 out of first 64 drafted. That is how to build through the draft.

    Two top picks are starters. The rest? Need to hold TB accountable.

  44. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    New post is up.

2021 Schedules
09/12: W 49ers 41, Lions 33
09/19: W 49ers 17, Eagles 11
09/26: L Packers 30, 49ers 28
10/03: L Seahawks 28, 49ers 21
10/10: L Cardinals 17, 49ers 10
10/17 BYE
10/24: L Colts 30, 49ers 18
10/31: W 49ers 33, Bears 22
11/07: L Cardinals 31, 49ers 17
11/15: W 49ers 31, Rams 10L
11/21: W 49ers 30, Jaguars 10
11/28: W 49ers 34, Vikings 26
12/05: L Seahawks 30, 49ers 23 12/12 · 10:00 AMCIN
12/19 · 1:05 PM v ATL
12/23 · 5:20 PM v TEN
01/02 · 1:05 PM v HOU
01/09 · 1:25 PM @ LAR

2021 Draft Class
1. QB Trey Lance, North Dakota State
2. OG Aaron Banks, Notre Dame
3. RB Trey Sermon, Ohio State
3. CB Ambry Thomas, Michigan
5. OG/OT Jaylon Moore, Western Michigan
5. CB Deommodore Lenoir, Oregon
5. S Talanoa Hufanga, USC
6. RB Elijah Mitchell, Louisiana
2021 Prognostications
Bullit: 12-5
Grumpy: 13-4
NJ49er: 11-6
Skeebers: 14-3
Winder: 12-5
Rob: 17-0
Spitblood: 0-17