Bye Week Bums or Vegas Faves?

Andy Reid always wins games following a bye week. Except for the SB. He might have won that one too if Donovan McNabb hadn’t lost his lunch in the 4th quarter. During the regular season, though, he’s been money in the bank.

The 49ers haven’t won one of these post bye week games since 2003. Hmmm. Perhaps there’s some sort of enlightenment available in this factual tidbit. It could simply be that the Eagles have been a good team for ten years and the 49ers have not … or maybe IT’S THE COACHING!

Ergo sum equalibinilibis, the Rams will beat the Niners this Sunday.

Counter pointing this postulation, however, is the all knowing group located in Las Vegas that has listed the Niners as 6 point favorites this weekend. SIX POINTS! Normally, the home team gets an automatic 3 point advantage, so Vegas thinks the Niners are BETTER THAN THE RAMS. Not a full touchdown better, but two field goals better. Whoa. They must have siphoned off all the Kool-aid that drained out of the Bay Area a few games ago.

One might be tempted to wonder if the Vegas guys think the Niners are better because Troy Smith will be the game day QB, and not Alex Smith. Maybe with Alex at the helm, the odds would be 2.5 for the Niners. Or maybe they just think any QB not named Alex is an improvement for the team.

What to believe: The Post Bye Factor or The Vegas Factor?

What seems clear is that people who follow the NFC West teams (i.e., guys not located on the East Coast who make a living ridiculing The West and demonstrating their deep green feelings of envy for people who don’t have to wear snow boots to work and don’t have to stay up till 1 am to watch ball games, which makes them cranky assholes the following day) all still think the Niners are the best team in the division. What they don’t know is how bad Mike Singletary is going to screw this superiority up and whether the team can win games on its own.

This makes Sunday’s game the GPS game of the year for the San Francisco 49ers. Until next week, of course. But this week begins the stretch of five division games in the final eight games. Last year, the Niners owned the division. Do they still own it? We shall see.

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12 comments on “Bye Week Bums or Vegas Faves?
  1. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    Here is how we win. We need to put the pressure on their QB like we did against the Raiders. We also need some 1st down play action. We’ve been doing a little better at attacking the flanks, that needs to continue.
    If Bradford has time to throw he is deadly accurate, but he falls apart more than most under pressure.
    Since we play a soft shell there will not be pressure. And since Sing is the coach, in a close game the ball will be run between the tackles on first down.
    Final summation, Rams win because of our lousy game plan.

  2. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    One vote for the Bye Week Bums.

  3. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    Both teams had bye weeks.
    BTW, did I mention we lost to the worst team in the league other than us? Yes we are the 1 in the win column for Carolina.

  4. Grumpy GuyNo Gravatar says:

    Bet Buffalo is bummed they don’t play us this year, Berger.

  5. delmardennisNo Gravatar says:

    Skeebs, you have to remember something very important about the Vegas line. It’s SOLE purpose is to evenly distribute the money wagered to each side. The Niners being favored by 6 over the Rams doesn’t mean Vegas thinks we’re six pts. better. It means that 6 pts. is the number the odds makers [smartest people in the world] determined would get 50% of the public to bet the Niners -6 and 50% of the public to bet the Rams +6. Plain and simple. That’s ALL they’re interested in.

  6. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    Skeebs- Are you taking Fridays off?

  7. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    I did last week and today. Bye week blues, I guess. First two days I’ve flaked in six months. That’s a better record than the Niners.
    I guess I’m waiting to see what happens Sunday with T. Smith. A win and maybe a little stirring of hope returns to Ninersville. A loss and I’m looking at a long couple of months of digging deep to find something enjoyable to discuss about this franchise. Beating Singletary to death week after week gets kind of boring. It will be tough to lighten the gloom. We might need a lot of the Love Berger to get to the January blood letting.

  8. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    A couple of things Mr Skeebs.
    One. Our O-line is so young but they appear to be talented. Nothing we can do about that at this point. I warned everybody that Anthony Davis should not start and that it should have been Simms. I am now looking like the Oracle Berger on that one. No pats on the back, just send money, LOL! But in reality, playing Davis will just make him better sooner. We are doing similar things with Bowman and Mays and it has cost us for now, it should help us in the long run.
    Two. If Sing would keep his nose out of the offense we could actually win some games now. He is not a bad coach for the big picture. He is terrible at strategy. He needs to delegate and let his coordinators do their jobs. Since we all know that is not going to happen he needs to be fired. Too bad, I like him a lot.
    I always root for us to win when the game is on, but I really don’t care these days until we start to “play to win” instead of this play “not to lose” game plan.

  9. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    I remember saying we should stick with last year’s O-line for the Seattle opener, and put the rookies in at home against the Saints. With 3 of our first 4 games on the road and the one at home being the Saints, it was not a favorable schedule for getting one’s feet wet. For a guy who almost had to go to the playoffs this year, it was either mighty bold or mighty rash for Sing to start the two rookies and now Mays, too.
    I’ve also been worried that just when the rooks should start settling in, they’ll also be hitting the “rookie wall.” Guess we’ll see over the next few games.

  10. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    I really want these bums to win the next three games and make things interesting and show some guts. Laying an egg now, with their backs against the wall, would be a very disappointing statement from this team.

  11. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    I agree with that. I don’t want to lose for draft picks. I would much rather win as many games as possible. My indifference is because we play not to lose and it just makes me watch with little emotion. I guess winning takes care of all, but losing just makes that philosophy seem like building an army and then not using it. I like to use the General McClellan analogy from the Civil War. When Sing was hired I thought he had a bigger set of balls. I was wrong.

  12. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    We Won!
    It was the first time we used the QB as the center piece of the offense since Martz left. I wonder if Alex throwing Sing under the bus on Monday had anything to do with the change in offensive philosophy?

2021 Schedules
09/12: W 49ers 41, Lions 33
09/19: W 49ers 17, Eagles 11
09/26: L Packers 30, 49ers 28
10/03: L Seahawks 28, 49ers 21
10/10: L Cardinals 17, 49ers 10
10/17 BYE
10/24: L Colts 30, 49ers 18
10/31: W 49ers 33, Bears 22
11/07: L Cardinals 31, 49ers 17
11/15: W 49ers 31, Rams 10L
11/21: W 49ers 30, Jaguars 10
11/28: W 49ers 34, Vikings 26
12/05: L Seahawks 30, 49ers 23 12/12 · 10:00 AMCIN
12/19 · 1:05 PM v ATL
12/23 · 5:20 PM v TEN
01/02 · 1:05 PM v HOU
01/09 · 1:25 PM @ LAR

2021 Draft Class
1. QB Trey Lance, North Dakota State
2. OG Aaron Banks, Notre Dame
3. RB Trey Sermon, Ohio State
3. CB Ambry Thomas, Michigan
5. OG/OT Jaylon Moore, Western Michigan
5. CB Deommodore Lenoir, Oregon
5. S Talanoa Hufanga, USC
6. RB Elijah Mitchell, Louisiana
2021 Prognostications
Bullit: 12-5
Grumpy: 13-4
NJ49er: 11-6
Skeebers: 14-3
Winder: 12-5
Rob: 17-0
Spitblood: 0-17