Urgent Expectations

We’re halfway through the offseason but still three months to go before Training Camp opens and year five of the post-Harbaugh era begins.

The past four years have not been kind to the 49ers, but they haven’t been great for Harbaugh, either. He made Michigan an instant contender, but has not been able to beat Ohio State. It’s a critical year for both him and the Niners.

“Urgency” has been deemed the operative word by GM John Lynch to describe the upcoming season. “This is a production-based business and we have to start winning games.”

No shit, Sherlock.

A six win season, followed by a four win season might make one think an eight win season this year would be a good sign. It worked for Mike Singletary. We all thought that 8-8 2009 season, the first non-losing season in seven years, was a sign the team was turning the corner. Next year it was 6-10 and bye-bye Mike.

In light of the roaring optimism that accompanied the hiring of Kyle Shanahan, an eight win season in his third year would not be considered anything but a disappointment. I’d say we need at least ten wins in 2019. Time to escape the single digit wins territory where the NFL losers reside.

Still, no matter what the Niners’ record is this year, neither Lynch nor Shanahan will be fired. They could definitely enter the dreaded sweaty pressers zone, though. Watching Singletary’s arrogance dissolve into a puddle of befuddlement was a gruesome spectacle. The post game pressers were more entertaining than the game on the field.

But if injuries again derail this season, we’ll see those types of pressers and they’ll have nobody to blame but themselves. They’ve invested in a lot of players who are either rehabbing major injuries or have a history of getting hurt.

If it’s better to be lucky than good, you could say the 49ers have had neither so far. Maybe this year, they’ll get at least one of them.

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Posted in FOS Speculation
39 comments on “Urgent Expectations
  1. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    This is year 3 on their 6 year deals.

    Already some nervousness is overriding prudence in roster development. 13.5 mil per year on Kwon is the start on questionable CYA moves, this one has early exit clauses tho.

    We can reclaim a 2nd or another 3rd in 2020 with a trade of Thomas plus a day 3 pick. AA will be big end on base downs again and worth a comp pick in 3rd or 4th. Salary cap can be reclaimed for next offseason.

    FO wants us to be winners this year. Kwon is tolerable. But no more questionable moves.

    Let the coaches take us as far as they can this season with this roster. Coach em up.

    SEA and LAR degraded. ARI is a big WTF on offense. At minimum a 10 win season is reachable.

  2. robNo Gravatar says:

    Nice to see that you’re not a pessimist there Skeebs

  3. winderNo Gravatar says:

    I don’t know how many wins or losses we need to call this season a success. I want to see how we take advantage of situations or the lack of. The coaching is gonna have to make the right moves as we have some players who are pretty good. We can’t start out like we did last year. Jimmy was hammered and our defense was out of position more often than not. That is bad game planning. I want to see how we attack on both offense and defense. We made so many mistakes that cost us dearly so I want to see if we can clean those up. Otherwise we are probably in for a long year.

  4. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Setting the bar at plus 6 wins from last season is setting the team up for disappointment.

    I just want to see major improvements in passing offense, pressure on opposing QBs and this team having plus 10 turnovers.
    Being competitive on all their games and in position to win in the 4th quarter.

    Those are the improvements I’m looking for and hard to say what kind of win total that translates to.

    This is a very young team. One thing they need to learn is how to finish off an opponent. New leaders have to emerge as the skill positions on offense are full of players with less than 5 years experience in the league.

  5. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    I am setting the bar higher. This team has experience with the youth.

    At DL the IDL same as last year. Ford borderline all-pro. Bosa ready day 1 with technique, hand usage, and play recognition never in question. Expectations this unit high caliber.

    DB’s are same with better coaching. Witherspoon must have maturity and show up ready to play and compete with Verrett. Colbert and Ward are FS initially but TMoore may figure in. This unit started off undisciplined with Witherspoon and Colbert and new coaches have them up to speed.

    WR have Goodwin, Pettis, and Matthews with Samuel and Hurd complementing as season progresses.

    LB has Kwon, Warner, Malcolm Smith, and Nzeocha with experience. OL the same underperforming self. TE has Kittle, Juice, and Celek/Smith.

    Barring key injuries with weaker NFC West am expecting playoffs. Big dollars to DL, Kwon, and RB. WR now low dollar. Fix OL early in 2020 draft.

  6. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    It’s going to take a season for the new players to develop some chemistry and to be on the same page.
    New guys Dee Ford, Nick Bosa, Kwon Alexander, Tevin Coleman, Jerrick MacKiinon, Deebo Samuel, Jordan Matthewsand, Kaden Smith and Jalen Hurd need at least half a season to gel.

  7. winderNo Gravatar says:

    I’m not so sure they have to gel right away they just have to play up the their capabilities and limit the mistakes. I don’t really see us making the playoffs this year but I do think we play .500 ball if our Oline stays healthy.

  8. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    DL does not rely on other units. They are the tip of the spear. Gel’ing is for LB’s and DB’s.

    This ain’t rocket science. Also 4-3 DL is easier, mostly one blocker to deal with. Twists and other stunts happen in college too. Bosa up to NFL speed by week 1. Others already there.

    With the high octane DL we now have, back seven also a lot better. Take more chances, jump routes. Passing D a lot better.

  9. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    The D is not read and react. It is all gas, no brake. Simpler but demands more athleticism. Sherman use to this. Kwon 4 years in NFL.

    Run D maybe the same. Depends how close to 100% Kwon is from the ACL last season. Pass D easily better over the dawg dung last year.

    Only doubt I have is who leaves the DL, too many numbers. Prefer a trade over a release. Cassius Marsh only exit so far. Dakota Watson LB, not DL. With the 5th OLB, maybe Pita gone soon. Nzeocha SAM and ST. Elijah Lee trade? Malcolm Smith release? Why did they take an OLB on day 3?

  10. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Five years from now this guy might be the #1 pick, 6:4′ 249lb with howitzer arm. What’s not to like? It all comes down to what’s between his ears.

    https://tinyurl.com/y3luu9e6

  11. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Our Training Staff overhaul should take care of it…Playoffs!

  12. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    NJ, Goodell will not allow performance enhancing drugs. Especially administered right before the game, at least not yet.

    How about just bribe the refs. Playoffs!
    Bribe Goodell. Super Bowl!

  13. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Maybe as simple as Jed making a visit to the Rollover Massage Parlor in So FL Bakkentom?
    Works wonders for Kraft apparently?
    Little rub-n-tug happy ending could alleviate Jed’s need for time with the shrink too? 😀

    After all the drama that surrounded the Harbaugh/Baalke era and, the recent leaks of fracturing relationships between Lynch and Shanny, I can’t help but wonder if this regime will ever see success.
    Nothing but back-stabbing, petty garbage IMO.
    Jed will never attract top tier candidates because of it.

    Lets hope the strategy to improve the pass rush pays off for the Secondary. I’m not gonna hold my breath just yet.
    They passed on some great looking prospects at FS IMO. Hope they realize Metcalf, Isabella and Butler are in the Division now.
    Call me skeptical….

    SF-Troop…..We’re the Hekawi.

    Please, just sell Jed.

  14. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Gotta think the final answer will be Paraag. The Master of the 49er Universe is their ultimate end game?
    Dr York’s hand picked power brokers.
    SMFH.

  15. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Curious to see just how ‘Professional’ Gould will respond to his F-Tag situation too.
    When you Tag a K, and the K isn’t happy about it……?
    A) Does he hold out?
    B) Does he just show up for the check?
    C) Does he force himself out of town by giving less than he can?

    Drama. Can’t wait.

  16. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Read recently that Nagy, in Chicago, had 11 Kickers in Camp, all attempting 43Yd FGs.
    They’re desperate to get Parkey out of their heads.
    Did Lynch even consider a heist from the Bears along the way?
    Not that they’d know what to do with the Pick(s) anyway, but, an unhappy Kicker in the hand could be worth something to the City he prefers to reside in.
    Gotta wonder…

  17. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Bears acquire K Eddy Pineiro from Raiders

    https://tinyurl.com/y54ra4al

  18. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    The fact of the matter is Chicago punted on Gould and kicked him to the curb. The Bears gave up on him.

    Lynch took a chance on him and Gould has had great success.
    Franchise tag will pay Gould $5 mil for the season which translates into $312K per game.

    Lynch is doing the right thing but holding firm. If the Bears want him it’ll cost the a 2nd round pick. Nobody with a part time job can complain about making $312K a week being away from home.

    No sympathy for Gould because he’s not reciprocating the trust the Niners put in him and it is Karma what happened to the Bears last season to bring this need for them.

  19. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Bears GM Pace screwed the pooch with Gould Bullit, agreed.
    Now they’re panicking.
    They’ve dealt away a boatload of Picks already to get Mack.
    Have to do some research on what they’ve got left to deal with but, I’d dangle Gould for a ransome.

  20. Grumpy GuyNo Gravatar says:

    Reasons to be hopeful for 2019: Cedric Hardman. Fred Dean. Charles Haley. Even Aldon Smith.

    We’ve seen, again and again, how having an elite pass rusher can elevate a defense to a whole new level.

    It’s not unreasonable to posit that Bosa should be in that class.

    Reasons to temper to enthusiasm: Our interior O-line is still *very* suspect, and we have a bunch of guys who need to overcome injury issues.

    8 or 9 wins is most probable, IF Garoppolo has a good year.

  21. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    With the new DL, opponents scoring kept low and our O on field more. We can protect our weakness which is falling behind enough to force us into obvious passing situations with the inevitable pocket collapse and greater likelihood of QB injury.

  22. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    Outside of NO, all of our games are winnable. The pass rush can take advantage of weak olines which is what we mostly face. I can see 10 to 12 wins.

  23. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    Adam Schefter

    @AdamSchefter
    Tampa DE Jason Pierre Paul suffered a potential season-ending fractured neck injury in a single-car accident last week in south Florida, league sources tell ESPN. Pierre-Paul will visit neck specialists this week to get their opinions to see if there’s hope to save this season.

    This is an opening for a Thomas trade. Bruce Arians new HC and brings Todd Bowles as DC along with scheme change to 3-4 D.

    Anthony Nelson a 6’7″ 271 DE taken in 4th. Trade Thomas for a 3rd as SOLB.

  24. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    Read comment on a TB blog. They are doing 3-4. OLB’s are Barrett and Nassib, with rookie Nelson and Noah Spence backing them up. Thomas would not be an improvement here.

    Jason Pierre-Paul was to be a 3-4 DE, assume RDE like Justin Smith. AA would fit here. Thomas maybe can bulk up. He is a run stuffer? AA won’t get us much in a trade. IMO it is Thomas or nothing. He may be too smallfor TB.

  25. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    Would hold on to AA this year. Will be a good comp pick for us later. If we had taken QWilliams then the 3rd RD pick Polite, Maxx Crosby, or Anthony Nelson and AA forced to trade.

  26. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    At times we think we have it bad @ GM’s. Could be the Bucs.

    2018 draft: Vita Vea in 1st then three 2nd’s where two were CB’s.
    2019 draft: 2nd and 3rd RD picks CB’s

    Now the talk is pick up FA Morris Claiborne CB to help with the kids. DL and OL need the help.

  27. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    How to D against ARI’s K Raid. Good article after OL stuff in front.

    https://www.revengeofthebirds.com/2019/5/6/18531363/az-arizona-cardinals-offensive-line-improve-jr-sweezy-justin-pugh-mason-cole-marcus-gilbert

    They will go as far as their 1st team OL stays healthy. Many were on IR last year.

  28. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    I do not think Cards hired the right coach in Kingsbury.

    In Mahomes last year his team was 5-7. The “air raid” offense is putting the ball up over 50 times a game and a variation of what Chip Kelly tried in the NFL.

    It will work for a few weeks until teams get film and devise ways to defeat it.

    These 20 second 3 and outs are devastating to your defense.

    Hard to believe the Cards hired this guy after Texas Tech fired him.

  29. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    “Seahawks released veteran S Kam Chancellor and WR Doug Baldwin with failed physical designations.”

  30. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    At least their injuries were on the field. Jason Pierre-Paul was July 4 firecracker taking off half a finger. Now he spun out his ferrari on the interstate with possible fractured neck vertebrae.

    Can’t fix stupid.

  31. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    Two Safeties and two WR in first 4 rounds, along with a pass rusher for exit of Frank Clark.

    https://thedraftnetwork.com/articles/best-and-worst-of-seattle-seahawks-draft-class

  32. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Relevant upcoming dates

    OTAs:
    May: 20-21, 23rd, 28-29, May 31st
    June 3-4, June 6th

    Mandatory Mini-camp:
    June 11-13th

  33. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    I have never heard of this guy but now he is the highest paid DB

    “The Miami Dolphins have reportedly made Xavien Howard the highest-paid cornerback in the NFL.

    ESPN and NFL Network report that Howard has agreed to an extension worth $76.5 million with $46 million guaranteed over five years. According to ESPN, that’s the largest contract for a cornerback in the NFL”

    Who the hell is Xavien Howard?

  34. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Maiocco update on Anthony Davis

    https://www.nbcsports.com/bayarea/author/matt-maiocco

    It’s be great if they can get a 4th round pick for him

  35. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Jest cut former Niner 3rd Rd pick Rashard Robinson today.

    He was another player who was trouble in college and the FO never vetted him properly and tossed him to the Jest for a draft pick.

  36. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    The positionless football player, baldy approves.

    https://www.ninersnation.com/2019/5/11/18566497/brian-baldinger-baldy-breakdowns-jalen-hurd-49ers-tight-end

    Shanahan picks the O and the counterpart on D to defend against this. Kwon types that are fast enough to jump short routes or at least sniff them out. IND picks LB’s in 2nd and 3rd that fits this type. How else to defend against Air Raid.

  37. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Peter King is drinking our Koolaid. Putting us at #7 even….

    7. +SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (4-12)

    Here’s my big surprise. Only I don’t see it that way. In 2017 and 2018, the Niners were 6-2 when Jimmy Garoppolo started and 4-18 when he didn’t. In his fateful last start, when he ran left and tore his ACL at Kansas City, these were the last four drives he executed that afternoon, going head to head with Patrick Mahomes at rabid Arrowhead: 54 yards to a field goal, 87 yards to a touchdown, 77 yards to a touchdown, 58 yards to a field goal. In his 10 NFL starts, he’s a 66-percent passer. I have no problem making two statements: I think the 49ers are a playoff team if Garappolo plays a full season. And I think Garoppolo will be seen as a top 10 NFL quarterback if he plays a full season this year. Still, the fact that he hasn’t done it leaves the question in everyone’s mind: The kid’s started only 10 games in five NFL seasons, he’s been rewarded ridiculously for what the Niners expect him to do … and now, can he do it? The future of so many people in San Francisco—including joined-at-the-hip coach Kyle Shanahan and GM John Lynch—are riding on Garoppolo’s right arm. And his health. I’m fine gambling on him.

  38. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    New post is up.

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2019 Schedule
9-8: @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 1:25pm
9-15: @ Cincinnati Bengals, 10am
9-22: vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, 1:25pm
9-29: BYE

10-7: vs. Cleveland Browns, 5:15pm
10-13: @ Los Angeles Rams, 1:05pm
10-20: @ Washington, 10am
10-27: vs. Carolina Panthers, 1:05pm
10-31: @ Arizona Cardinals, 5:20pm

11-11: vs. Seattle Seahawks, 5:15pm
11-17: vs. Arizona Cardinals, 1:05pm
11-24: vs. Green Bay Packers, 1:25pm

12-1: @ Baltimore Ravens, 10am
12-8: @ New Orleans Saints, 10am
12-15: vs. Atlanta Falcons, 1:25pm
12-21 or 12-22: vs. Los Angeles Rams
12-29: @ Seattle Seahawks, 1:25pm

2019 Draft Class
1. DE Nick Bosa, Ohio State
2. WR Deebo Samuel, South Carolina
3. WR Jalen Hurd, Baylor
4. P Mitch Wishnowsky, Utah
5. LB Dre Greenlaw, Arkansas
6. TE Kaden Smith, Stanford
6. OT Justin Skule, Vanderbilt
6. DB Tim Harris, Virginia
 
2018 Prognostications
Closest to the Pin:
  Mr Fletch: 7-9

Bakkentom: 8-8
Grumpy: 8-8
Winder: 8-8
Bullit: 9-7
NJ49er: 9-7
Skeebers: 10-6
Spitblood: 0-16
Rob!!!: 16-0

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