The Bust Maker

The 49ers haven’t come right out and admitted it, but their inactions during the Free Agency period have made it clear they have no intention of trying to be competitive this year. They are not even faking it.

The 2016 season will be nothing more than a year long audition by 53 guys to see if any of them are worth a shit. How exciting.

And, with $50+ million in available Cap space, yet no one to spend it on, while we suffer through the year, Jed York will be able to bring home a tidy bundle to his mommy in Youngstown, Ohio. The Yorks are finding this football franchise ownership thing to be quite a lucrative venture.

Chip Kelly will love the winning-is-secondary approach. He’s not under much pressure to produce anything other than a thorough examination of the roster. His year end evaluation will have more or less honesty to it, depending whether Trent Baalke somehow manages to keep his job. If he does, Kelly will have to be politically correct. If he doesn’t, Kelly can be as candid as he wants.

The Niners have until 1pm PDT Thursday afternoon to cut or trade Colin Kaepernick or eat his $12 million salary for the 2016 season. It’s clear no other team wants to pay him that much. It also seems clear that Kap would rather have that money than take less to get a new start somewhere else. Maybe he’s not as dumb as he plays. He and Jim Tomsula can gather at a local bar during the summer and have a good laugh over the $24 million of York money they’ve squeezed into their bank accounts.

I suppose Baalke might just presume that his so-far-failed draft picks (Tank Carradine, Brandon Thomas, Marcus Martin, Bruce Ellington, Quinton Patton, Corey Lemonier, Vance McDonald) will somehow all rise up at last and perform great things this year. Whew! That’s quite a long list of bust candidates. And it doesn’t even include last year’s rookies, none of whom played with any great distinction in 2015.

Our boy Trent. Can he squander another dozen draft picks next month? Probably so.




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32 comments on “The Bust Maker
  1. winderNo Gravatar says:

    As far as I know no one has come out and said total rebuild yet. But that is what it’s looking like at this point. I wouldn’t be surprised if we cut some more pretty good players just because they don’t fit into Baalky’s plan. Whatever that is. Baalky usually doesn’t give up on his draft busts very quickly so we can bank on having at least 8 to 10 new drafties on the team this year.

  2. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    Of those 3 surgeries, how many were sanctioned by the niners?

    If they release on March 31, sent to lawsuit city? Lawyers get paid starting April 1?

  3. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    Is Kap worth the effort.

    Potential Starter: R U serious

    Salvaging trade value: market seems to have set a 4th Rd value, how much higher is realistic considering what transpired the first half of last season.

    Probably drafting a 2nd to 4th rounder to develop. Why stunt BG and a Hogan or Hackenburg.

    Opinions on a legal settlement of non-sanctioned surgeries and their results and rehab.

  4. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    Relativism or living with failure in groups.

    A lot of owners are going to be living with various levels of butt-hurt as a result of FA spending in March. Misery loves company. Also breaks down a reluctance of tight wad owners to join the party.

    Will a Wilkerson for player/picks occur. He would bring a force multiplier on every starting position on D and O.

    Our offseason would go from bust to success with Mo and release of Kap. Pay the lawyers.

  5. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    I don’t think Lawyers are even in the conversation Bakkentom.
    The terms of Kaep’s deal had him paying for Insurance protection, with the Team as the Beneficiary.
    Unheard of in all the years I’ve paid attention to Contract clauses.
    Paraag pulled a rabbit out of the hat with that deal IMO.

    Some anticipate drama come Friday, on Kaep’s Contract decision.
    I don’t see anything occurring where Baalke lets him walk.
    By retaining him, they retain his rights.
    Pretty obvious Kaep wants out too.
    Baalke will take whatever deal makes sense, from any interested party.

    As I’ve stated, Mo and the NYJ would be ideal.
    Kaep wants to be there, the NYJ have no bonafide QB at the moment and, they F-Tagged Mo, with very little Cap space to address their own issues.

    Fitz and Jets are said to be $7Mil apart on Contract terms.
    If Kaep restructured for them, he’s able to provide a much longer term deal to them than Fitz.
    What I would do, is demand Mo in return for Kaep.
    We can pay Mo. At present, they can’t.

  6. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    No wonder we did not spend big in the FA mkt. Deal can work with NYJ. We pay all of Mo and most if not all of Kap’s first year.

    NYJ can afford Fitz as their starter with Kap as free backup, along with Geno. Throw in an OLB like Lemonier. We are able to keep AD.

    Kap makes out like a bandit with Jed’s money. Brandon Marshall and other Decker stay happy, unless they release or trade Fitz.

  7. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    Kap had to be paying hefty premiums. How can an insurer make money on any football player.

  8. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    AD’s silence and lack of reinstatement paperwork could be on TB to not show his hand in the draft. Expect AD to start at RT.

  9. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    AD and subsidized Kap for Wilkerson. NYJ gets RT and a free backup QB for Wilkerson and salary cap relief. NYJ gets quality RT starter for next 5 plus years.

    Fan base going ballistic. Get a deal something like this done. Teams like JAX have transformed themselves this offseason.

  10. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    OG Geoff Schwartz is a Detroit Lion. Before the draft AD needs to be worked out and interviewed by oline staff.

    Enough guards and how good are each. At the very least, a high pick needs to be spent on OC.

  11. robNo Gravatar says:

    NJ49ER
    Here are some draft names for you. Since you throw out lots of them I thought I’d return the favor. I’m not sure if we’ll pick any of these. I remember when Scott M. was here we never took anyone we visited lol.

  12. robNo Gravatar says:

    I guess you’ll have to copy and paste. Anyway of particular interest to me is the NT prospect. I wonder what round he’s projected to go in.
    Also notice shaq lawson getting lots of looks.;)

  13. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    “TE Vernon Davis has agreed to a 1-year deal with Washington Redskins.”

  14. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    The 1pm deadline has passed, so the Niners are now the proud owners of a $12 million backup QB that they think is worth something and the rest of the league does not.

  15. robNo Gravatar says:

    Denver’s offer was a 4th and seven mil.
    Cleveland’s was a 3rd
    Four teams expressed interest.

  16. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    Denver doesn’t have a 4th this year, and the seven mil was the pay cut they wanted Kap to take.

  17. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    Anthony Davis: “I’ll be filing for reinstatement to the NFL later this year. Dealing with Trent is giving me a headache.”

  18. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    TB got anal and lost chances to dump Kap to Cleveland and maybe Denver. Now we are left holding the bag, full of sheet.

    Grant Cohn nails Kap in his latest article. And TB.

  19. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Here’s my list for the NT Group Rob –

    NT

    Vernon Butler – LA Tech 6’4″/325 (C) 5.33 (26 Reps)
    Andrew Billings – Baylor 6’1″/310 (C) 5.05 (31 Reps)
    Austin Johnson – PSU 6’4″/323 (C) 5.32 (25 Reps)
    DJ Reader – Clemson 6’3″/327 (C) 5.33 (30 Reps)
    Adolphus Washington – OH St (C) 5.17 (21 reps)

  20. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    I took DE Charles Tapper over Lawson as well.

    DE

    Emmanuel Ogbah – OK St 6’4″/275 (C) 4.63 (20 Reps) (Tkls 133/39) (Sacks 28)
    Charles Tapper – OK 6’3″/271 (C) 4.59 (23 Reps) (Tkls 138/44) (Sacks 15.5)
    Matt Judon – GVSU – 6’3″/275 (C) 4.73 (30 Reps) (Tkls 204/43) (Sacks 34)
    Kevin Dodd – Clemson 6’5″/277 (C) 4.86 (Tkls 83/39) (Sacks 12)
    Bronson Kaufusi – BYU 6’6″/285 (C) 4.87 (25 Reps) (Tkls 168/50) (Sacks 26.5)

  21. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    The difference between Denvers’ 1st (Pick 31) and our 2nd (Pick 37)
    is pretty much a 4th RD Value.
    Baalke might present a deal where we’d swap 37/31 this year and, maybe a future Mid RD Pick for Kaep?

    Bigger issue for Denver is Cap space.

  22. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    AD is playing games again. He’s talking to F.O. about a better deal. He shouldn’t be a 49er

    going forward.

  23. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    NJ
    I’d add Hassan Ridgeway to your NT list.

  24. NJ49ERNo Gravatar says:

    Trust me Bullit, there’s several guys, along with Ridgeway that I’ve considered.
    I try to keep it at 5/Group.
    It’s the slotting process I can’t anticipate.
    Baalke gets the big bucks to figure that out 😀

  25. NJ49ERNo Gravatar says:

    Billings and several I kept in the Group are higher RD targets for me.
    Baalke could see better value lower.
    Ridgeway would fit that scenario.
    I want Rankins, so he’s easily RD1 talent.

  26. robNo Gravatar says:

    NJ
    I would love it if we can get Ogbah.
    Do you know what round Johnson is projected in ?

  27. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Austin Johnson Rob?
    CBS has him ranked in RD2.
    Purely in the eye of the beholder in this racket.

  28. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    A Fat Man in the Middle is something I shop for every year.
    We just don’t seem to favor the Wilfork-types for some reason?
    For me, a 3-4 is about that ‘Immovable Object’ to keep the LBs clean.
    But, scheme can offset that theory I guess?

    Ogbah is somewhat of a development guy so, I’d think he might be around toward the end of RD1?
    See what shakes out…

  29. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Sheldon Rankins looks to be the most versatile guy inside to me.
    But, there’s a ton of depth at the position this year.
    If Baalke could land Mo from the NYJ, that takes some pressure off the Draft Board early IMO.
    Maybe a Fat Man later would work too?
    Plenty of ways to ‘slot’ the Board, depending on targeted positions.

  30. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    I’ve listed DT Robert Nkemdiche from Ole Miss as a potential ‘steal’ on my Risk/Reward Group.
    If the kid can be trusted to come to work, he’d be a great addition.
    As always, it comes down to assessing the Risk Factor.

    Another guy I’d love is LB Jaylon Smith from ND.
    Poor kid suffered an injury similar to what NaVarro just recovered from.
    Not sure how much can be speculated on his medical situation but, he’s been a stand-up guy, through all of his troubles thus far.
    Again, we tried the same move with Marcus Lattimore for the very same reasons.
    A solid kid that, caught a very tough break, before he was able to cash in.

  31. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    New post is up.

2017 Schedule
Sept. 10: vs. Carolina, 1:25 p.m.
Sept. 17: at Seattle, 1:25 p.m.
Sept. 21: vs. L.A. Rams, 5:25 p.m.
Oct. 1: at Arizona, 1:05 p.m.
Oct. 8: at Indianapolis, 10 a.m.
Oct. 15: at Washington, 10 a.m.
Oct. 22: vs. Dallas, 1:05 p.m.
Oct. 29: at Philadelphia, 10 a.m.
Nov. 5: vs. Arizona, 1:05 p.m.
Nov. 12: vs. N.Y. Giants, 1:25 p.m.
Week 11 — Bye
Nov. 26: vs. Seattle, 1:05 p.m.
Dec. 3: at Chicago, 10 a.m.
Dec. 10: at Houston, 10 a.m.
Dec. 17: vs. Tennessee, 1:25 p.m.
Dec. 24: vs. Jacksonville, 1:05 p.m.
Dec. 31: at L.A. Rams, 1:25 p.m.
 
2017 Draft Class
1. DE Solomon Thomas
1. ILB Reuben Foster
3. CB Ahkello Witherspoon
3. QB C.J. Beathard
4. RB Joe Williams
5. TE George Kittle
5. WR Trent Taylor
6. DT D.J. Jones
6. LB Pita Taumoepenu
7. CB Adrian Colbert
 
2016 Prognostications
Closest To The Pin
  Grumpy: 3-13
  Spitblood: 3-13
  Winder: 3-13
Bakkentom: 0-16
Bullit: 5-11
Chuck: 8-8, 7-9, 9-7, 10-6
Mr Fletch: 4-12
NJ49er: 5-11
Phil Fan: 4-12
Rob: 9-7
RTFirefly: 7-9
Skeebers: 6-10

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