Standing Pat

Two weeks into the FA period, it looks like GM Trent Baalke has concluded that last year’s 5-11 record wasn’t the least bit his fault. No, the roster’s fine. The record was all the fault of Jim Tomsula and Colin Kaepernick.

To illustrate Trent’s POV, let’s start by looking at the defensive line.

Quinton Dial and Arik Armstead are set at the two DE spots. Ian Williams flunked a physical, had his 5 year contract extension shrunk to a one year deal, and won’t be ready by the season opener due to ankle surgeries. So, at NT, we have Mike Purcell. Glenn Dorsey won’t be healed from his ACL injury until late in the season, so scratch him from the scene. Tank Carradine and Tony Jerod-Eddie are fairly ineffective bit players. And that’s about it for the D-line.

On the offensive line, we have Joe Staley, Dan Kilgore, and a bunch of wannabes, used-to-bes, and never-will-bes. Lots of bodies, but not much talent.

There’s no one left in Free Agency who can dramatically improve the team, leaving that chore entirely up to the Draft. Ha ha ha ha! Since the 2012 draft, the only guys who have been immediate starters are punter Bradley Pinion and safety Eric Reid. Jimmie Ward started as a nickel slot CB his first year and, though he played great last year, spent his rookie season getting toasted in every game.

The Kaepernick trade saga has provided the only entertainment so far, but it’s nothing more than a one star Netflix rated production. When teams consider a third round pick, instead of a fourth rounder, to be a deal breaker, we’re not talking about a player who’s highly regarded around the league.

The 2016 plan seems to be drafting as many players as possible, hoping some of them can play sooner rather than later, and relying on a new and improved coaching staff to move the team out of the Dregs portion of the league and up into the Thoroughly Mediocre section. Be still my heart.




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53 comments on “Standing Pat
  1. winderNo Gravatar says:

    from last thread,bullit- the train wreck that is now our 49ers is due to front office decisions. At first I didn’t want to see it but after awhile it became inescapable. If Jed is pulling all the strings and Baalke is just a puppet we should see the proof of that pretty soon. Even if Baalke’s a true front-man he should at least try to draft some good players. I am still not sure which ego is at play here but if we don’t get some good players I doubt we will get much respect from the league or our current roster. I think the fans will dictate how this plays out if they don’t show up. i know I wouldn’t pay to see em. They way FA went down and the Kap situation has been playing out just goes to show how inept we really are.

  2. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    “GM Trent Baalke said he has not held any meaningful talks with anyone at NFL owners meetings (in a question, of course, about Kaepernick).”

    That’s our boy!

  3. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    Let that reality sink in.

    If Hue has picked up on RG III, what kind of bidding war is left to give the FO any kind of leverage.

    Fitz will be NYJ or DEN. If I were Elway, pull the offer and wait for Kap’s release.

    FO should have closed on the DEN deal for the 3rd.

  4. Phil fanNo Gravatar says:

    For awhile over here I felt deprived due to no Three Stooges reruns but then I remembered the Niners…

    Jed has admitted “getting too personally involved” installing Tomsula to replace Mr 49-22-1. Starting with the SB run, deciding that wasn’t good enough, looking to trade Mr 49-22-1 to CLE and the sorry parade of leaks and tweets that followed. Yeah the Stooges are doing just fine in Santa Clara. So I agree the decline in Kaps performance was costly but was secondary to FO follies. Tho the recap of Kaps bungling after the HC got axed was painful.

    No Three Stooges over here but fortunately there are still the Niners to smirk at. BTW NJ kick JY one fer me will ya?

  5. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    SXorry but Baalke is a real dick.
    His methods are getting old. He has yet to talk to Boldin.
    That sounds like how he treated Gore, Iupati, Culliver, Boone, Cox and Crabtree.
    Some of those players would stay beut Baalk’es arrogance would not engage in open dialog about a future with the team.

    That is very bad for team chemistry As there is no harm in gauging interest and how much it might cost.

    That seems to be Baalke’s problem in not doing his job. Baalke does like to coach the DBs.

  6. Phil fanNo Gravatar says:

    I used to hate Kawakami when he was part of the Maiocco establishment of Coach Harbaugh nitpickers. Back when 11-5 wasn’t good enough for the press in the Bay Area. 11-5 was the approx. average season production back then. 4 years divided into 44 reg season wins and 22 losses. Kawakami was quick to turn on a dime when word got out that York was leaking shit against Jimi tho. I give him credit for that and here’s TKs column looking at the murky tea leaves of current Niner issues = Balkey, York, Kap, etc. It’s pretty good I admit.

    http://tinyurl.com/gulqpsr

  7. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    And suddenly it seems Anthony Davis has fallen off the face of the earth. If he wqas coming back from retirement therr would be some mention. AD is pulling someone’s chain again.

    Last year AD waited unt6il June to give the Niners the shaft.
    It is hard to tell if you can trust AD to be part of this year’s team.

    My approach would be to plan as if he was not.

  8. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    We’ll see how it plays out with AD Bullit –
    He’d be another piece to consider with the NYJ if any sort of deal could be forged for Mo.

    http://tinyurl.com/jzn26mj

  9. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Sadly Erik pears is the 11th highest paid player on the Niners roster and makes $100K more per season than Blaine Gabbert.

    Looking at the salaries on the team will show you the lack of talent on the team.

  10. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    Lack of talent? Maybe IQ. Zane Beadles is a big Ellen Degeneres fan.

    Out of all the media out there, he locks on to Ellen.

  11. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Phil Dawson was voted team MVP last year and he did not have a pro Bowl season. That says something about the rest of the roster. Second in the voting was the deep snapper.

  12. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    I think a lot of us forgot that Baalke owes being GM because Harbaugh approved of his promotion.
    The arrangement was to share in the decision making but Baalke decided he wanted all the personnel power.
    The leaks painted Harbaugh as the guy that was trying to take B
    Baalke’s job.

    When hired certain things were assured to Harbaugh and when time passed it became an issue. Sounds like Baalke and Jed reneged on promises made.

    http://www.sbnation.com/ncaa-football/2011/1/4/1915426/jim-harbaugh-san-francisco-49ers-coach

  13. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Time for guys like Rob to take the blinders off. Declaring that Jed is the team’s great hope and that Parag wasn’t a meddler in football Ops (Marathe was in the booth signaling down when to throw challenge flags) just shows you how “UNAWARE” Rob is.

  14. Grumpy GuyNo Gravatar says:

    If you were paid to come in and secretly destroy the 49ers starting in January 2014, could you have scarcely done a better job of it over the next two years than our boy Trent has?

    He has the Reverse Midas touch: Everything he touches turns to shit.

  15. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    RG III to CLE. Where does Josh McCown go. Will Elway pull away from a Kap deal and wait for his release. TB got cute and thought he had leverage.

  16. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    RG III being paid like an expensive backup. Browns take QB with #2.

  17. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    A trade of Kap to DEN can be done after April 1, when he is fully healthy. Unless he has some early bonuses the game checks start in Sept.

    Wait for QB’s hurt in preseason or even up to the trading deadline may be what is in store for us.

  18. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    And then there was one. NYJ says no to CK. A NN commenter suggested Kap starts and ups his value enough to trade him before the deadline in OCT.

  19. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Here’s a guy who is all over the draft board. Some rank Hogan as high as a 2nd rd pick and some have him as a 6th rounder.
    Even if I took a QB with #7 I might draft Hogan withn the compensatory pick at the end of 4th round if he’s there.
    Knocks against Hogan are his elongated delivery and his footwork.
    Some of that can be fixed.
    He’s supposed to have a high football IQ and some compare him to Phillip Rivers. Lot of upside here

    http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/draft/players/1851143/kevin-hogan

  20. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Unless Kap changes it will be more of the same if he stays.

    Gabbert will beat him out because he will outwork him in the film room.

    In the NFL you cannot play sandlot football where you have to see your target open. Kap has little chemistry with his receivers and has to see them come open and then relyon his arm to fire the ball in. That is why he holds onto the ball too long and stares down his target.

    If Gabbert beats Kap out in an open competition, Kap will be the Niner version of Matt Flynn and it is doubtful he’ll be kept as a high priced backup.

  21. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    With Kap you must know that he pulled the wool over everyone’s eyes last season with his “sessions” with Kurt Warner and QB guru Gile.
    At the start of OTAs and TC Kap had a quicker release. But in the preseason and regular season games he went back to his old bad habits.

    Some Kap supporters say give him more time. Kap will be 29 yaers old in Nov and he is entering season 6. Time to turn the page and move on. Kap is not going to change unless he’s willing to change.

  22. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    The play that will forever define Kap as mediocre.
    He cannot read a defense even on pre snap.
    Is he robo QB?

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F2MUiIcwQPM

  23. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    All through the years the excuse makers for Kap have held him blameless, pointing the finger at coaching, his receivers and the line on why Kap plays poorly.

    The play in the video against the Rams above says it all. Greg Williams the Ram’s DC probably knows that Kap doesn’t even survey the field and is unaware what is happening to his WRs when a running play is called.

    Sadly this is one of the all time bonehead plays in Niner history. Why would you want Kap as your QB after he plays lie this?

  24. bakkentomNo Gravatar says:

    Wentz and Goff are NFL ready. Both free to audible run to pass, and vice versa. Both can audible specific pass plays pre-snap and call pass protections for the oline.

    They standout and other QB’s may drop to the 2nd. No GM or HC wants a Kap. If they did not or cannot run a pro offense in college, who wants to risk another Kap and a 5 year waste of the other O talent.

  25. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Wow now the head of the barnyard, Pyongyang chapter N.K. says all my comments on Kap are said in hindsight. This from his #2 fanboy who thought Kap could do no wrong.

    The #1 fanboy Berger would blame the the receivers for not running fast enough when Kap overtrew his receiver. When Kap threw passes heel high, inches from the turf Berger would comment that a good receiver would have made the reception.

    The truth hurts because Chuckles every time Chuckles goes on a profanity laden personal attack you know he can’t process any type of rational rebuttal he resorts to his BS.

    Chuckles defines oxymoron and definitely represents the moron part.

    Chuckles just can’t come to terms how wrong he has been defending Kap tooth and nail. The truth hurts and Chuckles still needs to come to terms that the problems with the current team is due to the forced departure of Harbaugh.

    Perhaps someone should explain what hindsight is to the head of the fairyland barnyard.

  26. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Baalke tried to manufacture a trade market for Kap but apparently the only offer is a future 4th round draft pick.

    IIRC the head of the barnyard said at contract rtime that the Niners should give Kap whatever he asked for. Even if it meant giving Kap upwards of $20 to 25 million a year because he was a franchise QB.

    Certainly it is a great relief that the big contract never happened because it would’ve set this franchise back 10 more years.

  27. winderNo Gravatar says:

    I don’t think money is the franchise’s problem. It’s more bad decisions and lack of talent evaluators. There are a whole hand full of fingers that can be pointed for this fiasco.

  28. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    With his modest contract Kap has no takers now. Imagine if Kap had signed a large long term deal, something like 6 years $120 mil with $45 mil guaranteed. It would have hamstrung the team into salary cap hell for the next five years.

    Class act when one can’t rebuke a point to comeback with a string of profanity and expletives. Watch out his head is about to explode and anyone close will be splattered with BS.

  29. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Bullit I think the Trade Mkt was generated through Kaep’s Agents, not Baalke.
    For that to occur it puts the onus squarely on Kaep, and his Camp.

    For them to think he had any chance of keeping his current Contract intact, following a benching and, 3 surgical procedures, was all but ludicrous IMO.
    As Baalke suggested, sometimes you need to allow these exploratory ventures to take their course, just to prove what the Market will bear.

    Kaep has a pretty lucrative deal in hand, if he’s Man enough to fight for it.

  30. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    The one last shot Kaep has at joining the NYJ, will now come down to the number Fitzpatrick sticks to.
    The NYJ have very little wiggle room, even on a front loaded deal for Fitz.
    Then, they have the dilemma of paying Mo on the F-Tag.
    Kaep could potentially offer a longer term to them with a restructured deal.
    See what comes….

  31. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    3/26: The Jets and Ryan Fitzpatrick are $7 million annually apart from each other. – Albert Breer, NFL Network

  32. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Still find very disturbing that all the mystery injuries and surgeries came about months after Kap got benched.

    Perhaps Kap by taking his time and waiting months subscribes to the Shaq O’Neal theory, “I got hurt on company time, so I’ll heal on company time.”

    Something fishy on how everything has come down and the reported fractures with members in the locker room, are they repairable?

  33. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    In the NFL every QB knows that the speaker in his helmet cuts off at the 15 second mark and he has 15 seconds to get the ball snapped.
    It is the primary responsibility of the QB for this to happen.

    The Kap fanboys think he’s blameless on the delay of games.
    Another shortcoming in the makeup of Kap trying to be a NFL QB.

    AS a QB you are responsible for lining your offense up and
    getting the play off in time. This requires discipline in the huddle and keeping an eye on the play clock. I wonder why the fanboys think Kap worked under a different set of conditions?

    What is disconcerting is watching the play clock strike zero and Kap barking signals seconds after that oblivious of what just happened.

  34. NJ49ERNo Gravatar says:

    After reading of the Nessa fiasco, I’m very much in the same boat Bullit.
    I think he broke The Bro Code.

    Hard to know of course but, all the ingredients seem to add up.
    Leadership starts and ends with the QB.
    He may never get it back.

  35. Grumpy GuyNo Gravatar says:

    He will not get it back in SF.

  36. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    In a very peculiar way, I have to wonder, whether Paraag was astute enough to structure Kaep’s deal in this way, to cover the Tomsula experiment?
    If memory serves, Kaep agreed to an insurance policy where the team is the Beneficiary for injury.
    Should Kaep get cleared to compete and, doesn’t accept the results from the ‘Team Doctors’, what leverage would he have in terms of a second opinion?

    He’s remained distant throughout this entire process.
    Choosing to rehab on his own, out of sight from medical practices provided by the Team.
    I think he’s playing games in a attempt to void his Contract medically.

    Then, there’s the Insurance angle.
    A benefits payout easily covers Tomsula I’d imagine?
    Not sure how this all works but, it should be interesting to see how Kaep, and his Camp, attempt to prop up his Mkt value, should he choose not to compete, for fear of further injury.

  37. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Until these distractions stop the Niners will have a hard time getting over the hump.
    Some of the dysfunction could be avoided but still lives on.

  38. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    I want to see just how determined Kaep is to prove himself if/when his Contract situation is exercised.
    All these distractions appear to have been driven from Kaep’s Camp.
    If he was focused on getting out of SF, he sure appears to have gotten cold feet, when it came to restructuring for Cleveland.
    Perhaps his Reps are just a bit naive, about their expectations and, the lack of leverage they’ve had, with this whole benching/surgery cycle?

    Tic. Toc.
    April 1st will be a big step in what appears to be a long and winding road.

    Dysfunction is our middle name these days.

  39. Phil fanNo Gravatar says:

    Cool story on Eric Rogers. Love to see a hard working underdog get ahead. Hope he does well for us.

  40. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Good story Bullit – Perfect example of a guy who ‘wants it’.
    I’ll take a dozen guys like him over some prima dona 1st RDer, who thinks it’s just a matter of showing up for the paycheck.

    BTW –
    I’ve been digging around on QB Vernon Adams from Oregon.
    Doesn’t look he’s had any ties to Chip.
    He’s a shade under 5’11” and ran 4.83 at the Combine.
    Nothing to shake a stick at, certainly.

    What makes me think Chip would love him is his production.
    Over 13K passing yds, played in 57 games in 4yrs, a 65% completion avg and, get this, 136TDs.

    I’m not ruling him out, simply on the basis that Chip loves accuracy.
    Looks like a near perfect copy of Russell Wilson in terms of size.

  41. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Think I’ve settled on my QB List –

    QB
    Carson Wentz – ND St 6’5″/232 (C) (64.1% – 45 TDs)
    Jared Goff – Cal 6’4″/215 (C) (62.3% – 96 TDs)
    Dak Prescott – MS State 6’2″/226 (C) (62.8% – 70 TDs)
    Brandon Doughty – WKU 6’3″/213 (C) (68.6% – 62 TDs)
    Vernon Adams – OR 5’11″/200 (C) (64.9% – 136 TDs)

  42. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Looks like the bulk of Adams’ stats came from Eastern Washington, before he transferred to Oregon.

    http://tinyurl.com/gwcy5nk

    As it stands now, Adams is ranked as a RD7/UDFA candidate.
    Basically a freebie, with plenty of potential upside.

  43. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    NJ

    Prescott getting a DUI during this critical period is a huge red flag for me. I would drop him 2 rounds from where I was originally going to draft him. Prescott knew what was at stake, yet he decided to have a few and then get behind the wheel. He’s a knucklehead and the Niners have had that at QB.

    I still have Goff as my choice at QB because of his quick release and what’s between his ears. He’s a cerebral QB who can go through all his reads.

    Kevin Hogan of Stanford has similar skills as Goff. He lacks a quick release and has bad footwork but those things are coachable if. I would take him over Prescott and he would be a solid pick at the end of the 3rd round or in the 4th. Hogan is a prospect whose best football is 2 to 4 years down the line.
    the pupil is willing.

  44. NJ49ERNo Gravatar says:

    Bullit I put my list together from stats mostly.
    Slotting is where the Pro’s come in.
    For me, it’s always about guys that ‘want it’.
    Even Kaep appeared to have a tremendous ceiling until teams took away his legs, and made him think.

    QB is the toughest and costliest position for a reason.
    Need a good fit with Chip. His system isn’t a fit for most.

  45. winderNo Gravatar says:

    nj- I don’t believe chip will be here in two years. He’s got scapegoat written all over his forehead. All draft picks are a gamble but if you pick the best one on the board you are giving it the best shot. I’m pretty sure kap is done here and all this bullcrap is just window dressing. I also don’t think either Goff or Wentz will be there at 7 so a lot of speculation is just that. However, if Goff is there and Baalky doesn’t take him then it will be pretty obvious we’re tanking the year.

  46. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Winder it’s the process of finding ‘football’ players for me.
    99.9% of all the buzz generated in the off season related to Draftees is done for our consumption.
    As stated, I can analyze stats with the best of them.
    So what?
    College is nothing compared to the NFL.
    Alabama can schedule games with Eff U and smack the snot out of them 86-3.
    The stats will carry for every guy that saw action in that game.

    IMO, Goff isn’t going to change the landscape for maybe a year or more from now, if ever.
    If he doesn’t ‘want it’ enough to immerse himself in the game at the Pro level, he’s not guaranteed a thing except for the money he signs for.

    All comes down to putting the pieces together that fit.
    Every guy, from Baalke to Chip to the 3rd string LS need to hone their craft to perfection.

    Al Davis was famous for Drafting speed. “Everybody go deep”
    Chip can succeed with the right QB.
    I simply don’t think Kaep is a good fit for what Chip does.
    We’ll see?
    For now, lean on the Defense and find the running game again.
    Once a QB is up to speed with all the moving parts Chip employs, the Offense can carry it’s share.

  47. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    This Draft Class is loaded with Defensive talent.
    Haven’t seen this sort of depth in years.
    Hence, the job Baalke is paid to do is to slot them.
    What guy, where he’s projected to go, who else might seek said guy, etc.
    Baalke rarely seems to reach so, IMO, he doesn’t seem to over-Draft.
    He goes the opposite way, often taking a guy that might require a year or 2 to develop.
    That’s what I hate about a QB in the top 10.
    It’s risky enough to translate a College QB to the Pro level.
    Then you often have to wait a year or more to see if ‘he gets it’.
    Kaep hasn’t gotten there mentally. He’s too much a victim of his College game, which didn’t require much from him in terms of reading Defenses.
    Chip runs at much faster pace as well.
    Just can’t see Kaep ‘wanting it’ enough to fight for his job.
    Very disappointing TBH.

  48. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    Maiocco was on the air today saying that Blaine gabber was reaching out to new guys like Zane Beadles and welcoming them to the team.
    Maiocco says Gabbert is acting like he’s the starting QB. Kap is in parts unknown basically out of touch with the team.

  49. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Beadles and Gabbert were probably teammates in JAX Bullit?
    But either way, Kaep is definitely estranged in all of this.
    He’s simply not showing any determination to take his job back.
    SMH….

  50. bullitNo Gravatar says:

    This off season is more of the same for Kap. Last year his agents convinced him to enroll in summer school to make it look like he was taking steps to improve. Used Kurt Warner to make it seem legit but results did not translate because his other tutors ran a high school QB camp.

    If Kap was serious he would’ve spent a week with Tom House. That’s who RG3 is going to which IMO is the right move.

    http://www.stack.com/a/who-is-tom-house-meet-the-qb-guru-the-cleveland-browns-are-hoping-can-resurrect-rg3s-career

  51. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    New post is up.

2017 Schedule
Sept. 10: vs Carolina: L 3-23
Sept. 17: at Seattle: 9-12
Sept. 21: vs. L.A. Rams: L 39-41
Oct. 1: at Arizona: L 15-18
Oct. 8: at Indianapolis: L 23-26
Oct. 15: at Washington: L 24-26
Oct. 22: vs. Dallas: L 10-40
Oct. 29: at Philadelphia: L 10-33
Nov. 5: vs. Arizona: L 10-20
Nov. 12: vs. N.Y. Giants: W 31-21
Week 11 — Bye
Nov. 26: vs. Seattle: L 13-24
Dec. 3: at Chicago: W 15-14
Dec. 10: at Houston: W 26-16
Dec. 17: vs. Tennessee, 1:25 p.m.
Dec. 24: vs. Jacksonville, 1:05 p.m.
Dec. 31: at L.A. Rams, 1:25 p.m.
 
2017 Draft Class
1. DE Solomon Thomas
1. ILB Reuben Foster
3. CB Ahkello Witherspoon
3. QB C.J. Beathard
4. RB Joe Williams
5. TE George Kittle
5. WR Trent Taylor
6. DT D.J. Jones
6. LB Pita Taumoepenu
7. CB Adrian Colbert
 
2017 Prognostications
Bullit: 5-11
Chuck: 9-7
Grumpy: 4-12
Mr Fletch: 5-11
NJ49er: 6-10
Rob: 9-7
RTFirefly: 5-11
Skeebers: 6-10
Winder: 4-12

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