Trending Flatline

It’s Tuesday, which means the world did not end on Monday. After two games of the 2011 season, the 49ers have the 10th rated offense, which is really the 22nd rated offense if you throw out the two TDs from Special Teams. The passing game ranks 27th and the running game ranks 24th. On defense, the team has an overall 14th ranking, by virtue of a 25th rating against the pass and number two against the rush.

These rankings are pretty similar to last year’s stats, which indicates the team has made the transition from Mike Singletary to Jim Harbaugh without missing a beat. Or showing any improvement. This can be viewed negatively or positively, depending on your POV or taste for Kool-aid.

Not only is the team achieving similar results as last year’s team, they are doing it in almost precisely the same way. Boring, ineffective ground game offense, and stout but porous defense. The personnel on offense is largely unchanged, the personnel on defense has changed significantly, but in both cases the results are the same. Amazing. How do we do it? No matter who the coaches are, no matter who the personnel, the 49ers keep stamping out 7-9 teams like an Off Broadway franchise.

Of course, it’s too early in The Era and too early in The Season to be mailing in our conclusions, but it is not too early to be Moderately Concerned. Especially after looking at the stats provided Monday by Matt Barrows of the Sac Bee (click here). These stats show Harbaugh’s pass-to-run ratios for his coaching career in college. This guy likes the running game even more that Singletary!

I guess we better hope he’s a whole lot better at achieving one than Singletary was.

More important than the amount of running plays is when that amount occurs. As a fan base more steeped in the WCO than any other NFL fan base, Niner fans are acutely aware that the WCO uses the pass to set up the run, and not vice versa. Running plays should occur when protecting a late lead, and not in acquiring that lead. After two games, we have seen a return to the WCO in offensive terminology, but not much evidence of a return to the WCO style.

It’s possible that Harbaugh has decided the best strategy is to get the team firmly on board his terminology by running the same plays they grew accustomed to in Singletary’s two years here, and then branching out into the uncharted waters of SOMETHING ELSE PLEASE!!

This notion requires a patient and trusting fan base. Hmmmm. We’re a little thin on those virtues these days, having used them for three other coaches/staffs in the past eight years and being rewarded with EXPLETIVE DELETED. (For you young fans who are not familiar with this reference, see Watergate tapes, circa 1974, when our POTUS was not a crook, but he sure could throw down some F-bombs. Nowadays, of course, everybody knows how to throw down F-bombs — even your Mom! And EPs have been replaced with Beep or Redacted, accompanied by a laugh track. Upwardly mobile vices!)

At any rate, the 49ers are 1-1 and not 0-2. This is better than last year by any calibration system. How long we are going to get this diet of ugly football is anybody’s guess. If ugly equals beautiful, the season will be long and prosperous. If ugly just equals ugly, so will our moods be reflected in kind. Bring us some purty football, Mr. Harbaugh. ASAPola, if you don’t mind.

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37 comments on “Trending Flatline
  1. winderNo Gravatar says:

    “Like an off Broadway franchise,” that’s an appropriate analogy. Hopefully, we will be able to move up the street soon.

  2. Del Mar DennisNo Gravatar says:

    We’re not moving up the street until we get a new actor to play the lead role.
     
    And, Skeebers, you can’t mix and match yds and pts to help our cause look any better. The NFL statistic rules don’t use your standards, they go by yds ONLY to measure a team’s ranking both offensively and defensively respectively. And by the NFL stats, the 49ers rank 17 on defense and 31 on offense. Ahead of only Seattle.

  3. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    I got my stats from Pro Football Reference, Del. There’s a link posted above. Unlike you, I’m not trying to paint the most negative picture available. Just the one I located at PFR, for discussion purposes only. I made no effort to see things more rosy than they were. If yds impress you, have at it. Any way you look at it, we ain’t very good. Which was my point.

  4. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    Here’s an example of why yards aren’t the be-all end-all for measurement, whether the NFL considers them that way, as you claim, or not.
     
    The 9ers have been ahead in both their games all the way to the end. They spent a lot of time just burning the clock. Dalls passed for 200 yards in the 4th quarter, but if they had possessed the lead, they would have most likely been content to run for 20 or 30 yards to burn the clock.
     
    Seattle, however, has no excuse. They have trailed in both their games and not put up any yards trying to catch up. If the 9ers had trailed in both their games, they would either have a lot more yards than they currently have – or Smith would be in the hospital. We all know which result you would prefer.

  5. unca chuckNo Gravatar says:

    NoFear, seriously? You think the Niners were well-advised to try and run the clock out in the 3rd quarter? You are beyond daft. No wonder you love Nolan. Dallas was moving the ball up and down the field in the 2nd half. Did you notice that the Cowboys outgained the Niner offense in the 4th quarter alone? Yeah, great job by SF to slow them down. Even when the Niner offense SCORED in the 2nd half, it was on the field for ONE play. The offense was NOT moving the ball. The defense was gassed. You don’t spell the defense by going 3 and out. You don’t run the clock out by giving up sacks. The Niners got THREE 1st downs in the 2nd half. The Niners were successful in getting 1st downs by throwing the ball. The ball control strategy hasn’t worked for the last 2 coaches.
    .
    The facts are, the coaches let Dallas off the hook, and went into safe mode. No more blitzing, no more passing, no more 1st downs, no more victory.
    .
    God, I can’t believe what you are saying. NO ONE WINS in the NFL by playing it safe. If these last two coaches taught us anything it was this very fact. They don’t have to go all Mike Martz and throw nothing but 30 yard passes, but do a better job of keeping the chains moving. Say, how about TE routes? Roll outs?

  6. unca chuckNo Gravatar says:

    I had to pull that post from the previous thread.
    .
    I have to say, NoFear has gone off the deep end. He advocates running the clock out in the 3rd quarter.
    .
    .
    .
    Skeebs, total yards may not provide the be-all-end-all stat, but it belines the fact that the niner offense went to sleep in the 2nd half. 180 in the 1st. 62 in the 2nd.
    .
    3rd down conversions? 8-9 in the 1st, 0-6 in the 2nd. Hmmmm. Great way to run the clock out, eh? Completely go into your shell, and hope you bore the other team to death.

  7. unca chuckNo Gravatar says:

    30 on the 62 yard came on one play. So the rest of the 2nd half resulted in 32 yards.
    .
    NoFear’s guide to winning football. 7 point lead to start the 2nd half? Go into prevent mode.

  8. unca chuckNo Gravatar says:

    Seattle WANTED to get the yards, Skeebers. It’s not like they weren’t trying. Dallas is a better team that Seattle, and they outgained our 4 quarters in one. The most important one. The 4th.
    .
    The point to all this is the Niners, after playing about as good a 1st half as they could have, played a shitty 2nd half. Did Dallas blitz more? No. Did the Niners wear down? Maybe. Did the play calling kill them? Possible. Alex was sacked 3 times in the 1st half, 3 times in the 2nd.
    .
    In other words, the Niners did more to themslevs to stop their momentum than Dallas did. We stopped pressuring as much, and went into our turtle offense.

  9. Del Mar DennisNo Gravatar says:

    The 49ers have been outgained 503-148 yds after halftime.
    So much for halftime adjustments. Someone needs to go watch the tape.

  10. unca chuckNo Gravatar says:

    Quote:
    .
    I believe our idea was to burn up clock as much as gain yardage. Of course a few yards to cut down on the third and longs might have helped the strategy succeed but the reasoning was clear enough.
    End quote.
    .
    This means you agree with the strategy of trying to burn clock with a 7 point lead in the 3rd quarter. Good gravy, you need a map to find your kitchen? My post is clear as day. When the Niners were passing on 3rd down (in the 1st half), they were successful converting 3rd downs. In the 2nd half, when trying to burn clock, they weren’t.
    .
    Hmmmm. What do we deduce from this, skippy? Dallas didn’t really alter their defensive approach from the 1st half to the 2nd. The Niners altered their offensive approach by trying to burn clock. It failed miserably. To the tune of 236 yards to 62 in the 2nd half.
    .
    Are you saying you don’t agree with their strategy of burning clock in the 2nd half? Then why don’t you say it? As usual, you leave enough wiggle room to say you understand the strategy, but don’t implicitly state you AGREE with it. When I infer that you agree with it, you get bent and call me out for putting words in your mouth. Why make the point in your post, other than to point out the obvious if you are not agreeing with it?
    .
    As usual, what is the overriding point of your post? To point out the Niners were trying to burn clock in the 3rd quarter? If so, this is a coaching staff that is retarded beyond belief. NO ONE in their right mind thinks they can burn 2 quarters of football with a 7 point lead.

  11. unca chuckNo Gravatar says:

    In other words, NoFear. Please state a position on whatever you are writing about. Saying you understand their strategy of trying to run the clock out with 30 minutes remaining in the game infers that you at least somewhat agree ith the strategy.
    .
    Otherwise you are posting nothing. As usual. As usual, the palavering pachyderm does nothing more thatn obfuscate and blow smoke and hold up mirrors.

  12. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    On the flip side, we have Mike Martz weighing in last Sunday with 55 passes and 11 runs. To Martz’s way of thinking, playing catch up football begins with the opening kickoff.

  13. unca chuckNo Gravatar says:

    That’s the problem with arguing this point, Skeebs. When I (or Berger) say they need to open things up a little, NoFear assumes this to mean run 5 times, and pass 60 times a game. Every play is 4 WRs and shotgun come hell or high water.
    .
    This isn’t the case. Using multiple WR sets maybe 8-10 times a game isn’t going to alter the balance of the universe. Trying to create mismatches in the secondary works sometimes. Even with 7-8 guys in to block.
    .
    When Dallas gave up on the run they went shotgun all through the 4th quarter. They went short passes all the way. On the flip side, our ‘ball control’ offense gained 62 yards and held the ball for 10 minutes of the 2nd half. Snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. Yes, the Niners were in the lead, but that doesn’t mean sit on your hands and hope the line can open holes for Gore all through the 2nd half. 20-47. Woo hoo. let’s try that run up the middle one more time.

  14. unca chuckNo Gravatar says:

    You inferred that the Niners were well-advised to run the clock out in the 3rd quarter, NoFear. You agree with that? Simple question that you never answered. You understood it (!), but never agreed or disagreed.
    .
    My point entirely. You write as if you agree and then attack me for my inferrence that you agree with it.

  15. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    Count me in as a “palavering pachyderm”! That was good!

  16. unca chuckNo Gravatar says:

    Look up palavering . . .

    It ain’t a compliment . . .

  17. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    pa·lav·er   /pəˈlævər, ‐ˈlɑvər/ Show Spelled [puh-lav-er, ‐lah-ver] Show IPA noun, verb, -ered, -er·ing.
    noun
    1. a conference or discussion.
    2. a long parley, especially one between primitive natives and European traders, explorers, colonial officials, etc.
    3. profuse and idle talk; chatter.
    4. persuasive talk; flattery; cajolery.
    .
    verb (used with object
    7. to cajole or persuade.

  18. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    NoFear- Though I agree with your assessment of the coaching on Sunday, I’m hoping it was a product of not having the entire play book in yet. I am skeptical about that but I do know that time will be what tells us the truth.

  19. barleyfreakNo Gravatar says:

    “Show IPA ”
     
    ??
     
    I’ll show you an IPA, MF!

  20. unca chuckNo Gravatar says:

    Don’t flatter yourself, NoFear. Your inane comments are best left unread. It’s YOUR retarded theory that the Niners were trying to burn clock in the 3rd quarter. You offer it up as a plausible explanation and then don’t say either way if you agree with said theory. Really? You sell aluminum siding? Fuller brushes? Or do you write encryption code? This shit is beyond funny.
    .
    Yeah, palavering pachyderm fits NoFear. Idle chitchat with little relevance.

  21. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    What I like about blogs is I’m the one with the irrefragable arguments!

  22. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    What I like about blogs is they’re free.

  23. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    That too!

  24. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    Looks like the Patriots have signed Phillip Adams.

  25. unca chuckNo Gravatar says:

    Damn. I liked him. He’s a good young CB. If he stays healthy.

  26. BergerNo Gravatar says:

    Braylon Edwards had a medical procedure on his knee. He’ll be out for a bit.

  27. unca chuckNo Gravatar says:

    A bit? How many bits in a month?

  28. unca chuckNo Gravatar says:

    I mean I’d be real worried if he was out for two bits.

  29. robNo Gravatar says:

    can we ever catch a break here with these gawdamm WR’s !
    wtf !

    we need crabs and edwards to finally give us two quality starters there imo !

    crap

  30. Del Mar DennisNo Gravatar says:

    Don’t fret, Rob. Edwards’ absence will just give Alex apologists another excuse.

  31. robNo Gravatar says:

    last week our offense fizzled without crabs and edwards !

  32. unca chuckNo Gravatar says:

    The 1st half was fine, Rob. It was the play calling that changed.

  33. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    We won’t have Norris to kick around this week. He’s out for Sunday’s game. Hold down the cheering.

  34. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    Maybe he’ll throw up a 62 QBR in Cincinnati and we’ll win!

  35. Grumpy GuyNo Gravatar says:

    As much as I doubt Alex, he is your starting QB. On a team that cannot win meaningful games with just Gore up the middle and defense and smoke and mirrors. You cannot take the ball out of his hands. For better or worse, we’re only going as far this year as Alex takes us. Might as well see exactly how far that is.

  36. NJ49erNo Gravatar says:

    Rain in Cincy means we’re likely to be working the ground attack even more.
     
    Got Philly and TB waiting too. Braylon will be a non factor until after the BYE I’d guess?
     
    Let’s not panic until then. We won’t be throwing against Philly’s Secondary and until we learn to run, we’re toast anyway.

  37. SkeebersNo Gravatar says:

    New post is up.

2019 Schedule
9-8: @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 1:25pm
9-15: @ Cincinnati Bengals, 10am
9-22: vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, 1:25pm
9-29: BYE

10-7: vs. Cleveland Browns, 5:15pm
10-13: @ Los Angeles Rams, 1:05pm
10-20: @ Washington, 10am
10-27: vs. Carolina Panthers, 1:05pm
10-31: @ Arizona Cardinals, 5:20pm

11-11: vs. Seattle Seahawks, 5:15pm
11-17: vs. Arizona Cardinals, 1:05pm
11-24: vs. Green Bay Packers, 1:25pm

12-1: @ Baltimore Ravens, 10am
12-8: @ New Orleans Saints, 10am
12-15: vs. Atlanta Falcons, 1:25pm
12-21 or 12-22: vs. Los Angeles Rams
12-29: @ Seattle Seahawks, 1:25pm

2019 Draft Class
1. DE Nick Bosa, Ohio State
2. WR Deebo Samuel, South Carolina
3. WR Jalen Hurd, Baylor
4. P Mitch Wishnowsky, Utah
5. LB Dre Greenlaw, Arkansas
6. TE Kaden Smith, Stanford
6. OT Justin Skule, Vanderbilt
6. DB Tim Harris, Virginia
 
2018 Prognostications
Closest to the Pin:
  Mr Fletch: 7-9

Bakkentom: 8-8
Grumpy: 8-8
Winder: 8-8
Bullit: 9-7
NJ49er: 9-7
Skeebers: 10-6
Spitblood: 0-16
Rob!!!: 16-0

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